Tuesday, June 25, 2024

My Predictions (And Hopes) For the 2024 Emmy Nominations, Week 3, Part 2: Outstanding Lead Actor in A Limited Series/TV Movie

 

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES/TV MOVIE

I’m not sure how many actors will be nominated in this category. I’m told the limits five but I know that was last year and I’m inclined to think given the level of candidates they might go as high as six. So that’s how high I’m going to go. The first five are not going to come as a shock to anybody, the sixth might be able to get in on the boom for a TV movie. I’ll explain why when I get there.

 

Matt Bomer, Fellow Travelers

Matt Bomer has been one of the great actors of Peak TV for more than twenty years, as good in light roles such as White Collar and heavier fare such as The Sinner. But his work in Fellow Travelers is at an entirely different level and has been acknowledged as much since the awards season began: Bomer has been nominated for a Golden Globe, Critics Choice Award and a SAG award in this category and it has been one of the top performances in all of 2023.

In his work as Hawk, a closeted gay man working in McCarthy era DC, Bomer’s performance was described as that of a ‘gay Don Draper’. And that was dead on. (Interesting that he will almost certainly be competing against the real Don Draper as we will see below.) Hawk was in a sexual predator, hiding in the shadows, constantly having clandestine affairs (albeit with men) and always proud to be the alpha male. The affair he had with Tim was clearly one he considering more for his benefits than Tim’s but as the show continued it was clearly much deeper. Hawk spent his entire life in the shadows, marrying, fathering children and is a grandfather when the series begins. He believes in the front so much he thinks it fools everybody but by the end of the series, it’s clear that the only person he fooled was himself. At the end of the series when he stands by the patch on the AIDS quilt that has Tim’s name on it and says to his daughter: “This was the man I loved” it is a moment of great sorrow and triumph.

Almost all of the favorites in this category are either openly gay or spend the show dealing with their sexuality. Bomer’s arc is by far the most tragic and always the more life-affirming.

Richard Gadd, Baby Reindeer

Gadd bares a heavier burden than almost everyone in this category: not only did he write the story that this series is based on, he lived a version of every detail of it. I can’t begin to think how painful this must have been for him to tell his story for all to see, but based solely what we see from Donny in this series it must have been horrible.

In a sense Gadd is playing himself, or at least a version of it, in Baby Reindeer and while you’d think this would be too easy, it’s clear every moment onscreen and every detail he reveals to us both in dialogue and narration how absolutely hard this was for him. We watch every detail of Donny’s life unfold so painfully that the viewer forgets (and given certain aspects that have happened afterward) how traumatic this must have been for him to go through. This is clear as the sequences with Martha unfold, but it takes on a new level when we learn what happened to him with Foley. By the time he unravels in the monologue he delivers as a comedy special in the penultimate episode, the viewer has forgotten he’ll emerge from this alive, if not unscathed: he believes so thoroughly in what will happen next that we do too.

Gadd has been rising in the odds for this category since Baby Reindeer debuted and he may very well end up the winner. In a category filled with some of the strongest performance of the entire season, that is a tribute to his work.

Jon Hamm, Fargo

Mad Men ended in 2015 but Jon Hamm has never really gone away from television: we’ve seen him play critical roles in Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt, he keeps reappearing on SNL and Curb Your Enthusiasm and he showed up on Good Omens. But in 2023 he made a spectacular return. He is a heavy favorite for a Supporting Actor nomination for his work in The Morning Show and has basically been the frontrunner for his work in Season 5 of Fargo since it debuted this past November.

His work as Roy Tillman is in a sense the greatest performance we’ve seen him give: his entire career in Peak TV has been playing characters who are morally ambiguous at best but he’s never gotten a chance to play a character so unequivocally evil as Roy Tillman. This would have been a chance for Hamm to chew the scenery  (many of the best performances on Fargo from Billy Bob Thornton to Timothy Olyphant have done so) but if anything Hamm chooses to underplay his character’s evil with a subtlety in his dialogue which is so quiet that when he reacts in violence (as he frequently does) it comes with such shock as to totally unnerve the most hardened viewer of the show after nearly a decade of watching in.

Considering the series was set as close to the present day as we have seen it, we could see so much of the MAGA movement in every aspect of Tillman’s character: his believe in what is right and what is wrong, as opposed to legal and illegal, the right of the Biblical and family governing his doctrine, control of a militia. The fact that all of this was taking place during his run for reelection could have been a bridge too far but it wasn’t. And like so many characters in Fargo there was no justice meted out for his character at the end: he’ll pay for his crimes but not the way we hope.

All of the nominees more than deserve to win in this category and it’s hard to justifiably pick Hamm over any of the others. I may change my mind by the time the nominations come out, but I would be fine if he ended up taking another Emmy.

 

Tom Hollander, Feud: Capote Vs. The Swans

Tom Hollander played perhaps the only major character in all of the second season of The White Lotus who didn’t get an Emmy nomination last year. (Despite being the main reason ‘the gays were going to murder Jennifer Coolidge’) It would be easy to draw a line between his character there and Truman Capote in the second installment of Feud – indeed, most of the action follows based on the idea he ‘murdered’ one of the Swans he wrote about and at one point he is told that it is his job to finish Answered Prayers to finish off destroying the world his Swans lived in.

But of course that would undersell everything Hollander does as Capote, one of the most famous writers and characters in history. He’s been portrayed on film numerous times, most famously by Philip Seymour Hoffman in the role that won him his Academy Award so you would think there’s be nothing to say about him or new to be learned. It is a tribute to Hollander that we find ourselves constantly in a state of contradiction. In the first half of the series, we consider him the villain of the story, the deceiver, the drunkard, the manipulator of all that happens around him. And then in the second half, our sympathies are reversed as we see another side of Capote, the failed writer, the aging man in a changing society and most of all a gay man in a world that doesn’t welcome him. We see Capote die twice in this series, and each time we are reminded of horrible it is. Hollander is the center of one of the best shows of 2024 and fully deserves a nomination.

Andrew Scott, Ripley

Scott, if anything, is stepping into bigger shoes than Hollander is the character of Tom Ripley has been played by some of the greatest actors in history, including John Malkovich and most famously Matt Damon. Considering all we know about the roles Scott played in his past and his own connection to it, many (including myself) thought he was born to play one of the first villains to head his own series of mystery novels as well as one who has a clear homosexual undertone.

To be clear Scott’s work is magnificent particularly as he has chosen to play it in a way unlike previous portrayers have and the way we have come to know Scott’s best work. So much of Tom is done is silence, studying himself, trying to imitate behavior, acting in self-restrain, always watching everything he does and around him. Like the entire series, it is a triumph in minimalism, not usually the kind of thing the Emmys recognize but in the case of Scott, it is absolutely impossible to look away from.

Kiefer Sutherland, The Caine Mutiny Court Martial

I didn’t delve into the TV Movie category because it’s not one I generally do. It is likely that The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial will be among the contenders, along with Mr. Monks Last Case and The Great Lillian Hall. However with the coming of Peak Limited Series the TV movie has increasingly become less important in the nominations for acting and it is likely that it will happen here.

Sutherland may very well prove the exception to the rule: he was nominated for Best Actor in this category by the Critics Choice Awards and his previous history with the Emmys due to his work as Jack Bauer might be enough to get him invited. But watching his work in a role that has been played most famously by Humphrey Bogart (though not in the same context) I was reminded of how brilliant a performer Sutherland is. He has taken one of the most iconic roles in Hollywood history played by perhaps its most iconic actor and turned it into something entirely new. Like so much about the adaptation, Sutherland’s work has nuances and layers that have been lost in so many versions over the years and in what is a filmed stage play Sutherland finds a way to command so much action as he did on 24.

I don’t know what the chances are of Caine Mutiny winning this award or even being nominated. But Sutherland deserves a nomination, I kid you not.

 

FOR YOUR CONSIDERATION

Sam Neill, Apples Never Fall

There are many names I could have chosen for this – Ho Xaunde for The Sympathizer and Clive Owen for Monsieur Spade were major contenders – but I settled on Sam Neill for many reasons (and just to be clear, the state of his health is not one of them)

Neill’s work as Stan Delaney, the patriarch of the clan who becomes the chief suspect in the disappearance of his wife, is one of the more difficult roles I saw in one of the more brilliant series I saw all last year. He had to play a character whose public perception was one thing, a different thing to each of his children and someone whose behavior could be ambiguous enough to be guilty in the eyes of the viewer but still leave room for the doubt. By the penultimate episode of the show, even having read the book and known the truth about it, I will still not certain of Stan’s guilt. Part of that may have been because I wasn’t sure what changes the writers had in mind, but much of that was due to the work of Neill. He has always been one of our most underappreciated actors despite being in some of our most famous films and he deserves recognition here.

 

Tomorrow I’ll handle Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited Series/TV Movie. There might be a slight deviation from the likely nominees here.

 

 

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