A month ago, I said that its always
difficult to handicap the Broadcast Critics. It can be equally difficult to try
and figure out what the Golden Globes will do. Often the series they choose can
be a good precursor for what the Emmys, other times they can lag behind badly.
(Breaking Bad is the most obvious
example). Still considering that their
nominations are often more in flux than the Emmys, its interesting to
try and parse it.
Here are my predictions for this
year.
BEST DRAMA
Consider that Empire, Mr. Robot and Outlander
are gone, I'd say this race is wide open. Game of Thrones has never triumphed here, and its hard to see where
it would go. One could predict that one of the shinier baubles, Westworld or Stranger Things, to have a better chance. Personally, I'd like to
see This is Us prevail, partially
because its a great series, and partially because its been a long time since a
broadcast drama won here. But I'm going to give the narrowest of edges to Westworld.
Should Win: This is Us.
Will Win: This is Us/Westworld
BEST ACTOR, DRAMA
A wide open category, since none of
the last three winners are here. I would be eternally grateful if Matthew Rhys
were to end up the winner here, because his work on The Americans is a magnificent performance. But I think it's more
likely to go to one of the other superb candidates, Rami Malek for Mr. Robot or Bob Odenkirk for Better Call Saul. (And why isn't either
show nominated for Best Drama?) Its a really tough choice, but I'm going to
give the narrowest of edges to Odenkirk, given that AMC
has a slightly better record with the Globes.
Should Win: Rhys.
Will Win: Odenkirk.
BEST ACTRESS, DRAMA
This is a really tough choice,
considering that the only hold over from
last year is Catriona Balfe for Outlander,
and the best choice, Tatiana Maslany
isn't here. Going on my own hunches, I think the odds are that one of the
former child stars in this category will prevail. Evan Rachel Wood has a good
chance, considering her triumph at the Critics Choice. But I think the award
will go to Keri Russell for her superb work on The Americans. Not only is she a fantastic actress, its been nearly
twenty years since she prevailed for Felicity
in this same category. Just like Claire Danes did with Homeland six years ago, Hollywood Foreign Press, loves mirrors.
Should Win/Will Win: Russell.
BEST COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Tough choice. Will Mozart in the Jungle or Transparent repeat here? Veep's had a great run at the Emmys, but
no love at all from the Globes. Atlanta
Should Win/Will Win: black-ish
BEST ACTOR, COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Tambor is always remarkable, and he
could repeat here, but I think its more likely the Globes will pick one of the
African-Americans in the category. Anthony Anderson is incredible in black-ish, and I'd like to see him win.
But I think it more likely the Globes will follow the Broadcast Critics and
recognize Donald Glover for Atlanta
Should Win: Anderson
Will Win: Glover.
BEST ACTRESS, COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Five straight Emmys and no Golden
Globes for Julia-Louis Dreyfus. Seems wrong. Unfortunately, her streak of bad
luck is likely to continue here. I
wouldn't mind if Gina Rodriguez or Rachel Bloom were to repeat for their superb
work on two criminally undervalued CW series (particularly Bloom), but I think
its more likely to go to Dreyfus or Issa Rae for Insecure. Personally, I'm fine as long as anyone other than Sarah
Jessica Parker wins.
Should Win: Bloom.
Will Win: Dreyfus/Rae.
BEST MOVIE OR LIMITED SERIES
Considering how tough the
competition is, it should be hard to predict this one. Bur despite the fact
that there are so many good choice, this is probably the easiest award of the
night to pick. The People V. O.J.
Simpson swept the Emmys and the
Critics Choice. It's probably going to do the same thing here. And its a Ryan
Murphy series - they do great at the Globes.
Should Win/Will Win: People V.
O.J. Simpson.
BEST ACTOR IN A MOVIE OR LIMITED SERIES
I'd like to see Bryan Cranston or Tom
Hiddleston win something for their great work. But this one's an easy one to.
Courtney B. Vance will continue his hot streak for playing Johnnie Cochran in People V. O.J. Simpson. At least Riz
Ahmed and John Turturro have more of a chance with the Emmys next year.
Should Win/Will Win: Vance.
BEST ACTRESS IN A MOVIE OR LIMITED SERIES
My love for Felicity Huffman and American Crime knows no bounds. I wish
she could prevail. She deserves it. But this year she has been eclipsed by a
brighter sun. And her name is Sarah Paulson, aka Marcia Clark. Were Lili Taylor
she might have a chance. But this year, its Paulson's to lose.
Should Win: Huffman.
Will Win: Paulson.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
This is the one category where People V. O.J. Simpson might run a
cropper. Sterling Brown has already won an Emmy and a Critics Choice. But
considering he's up against competition from other dramatic series, he might
end up coming up short this time. Is it possible that John Lithgow, winner for
playing Winston Churchill in The Crown or
Christian Slater could duplicate his win for Mr. Robot? My personal preference is for the latter (that's how
good Slater is), but don't rule out an upset. This is the category where it
might happen.
Should Win: Brown.
Will Win: Lithgow/Slater.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Since Regina King isn't here (why,
pray tell) this award is wide open. I'd prefer to see one of the wonderful
females from This is Us win,
preferably Chrissy Metz whose work is excellent, but its more likely that they
might honor The Night Manager for
this category. Olivia Colman is a great actress, and her work on that series
was marvelous. Thandie Newton (who won a Critics Choice for her work in Westworld) has a performance with more
layers than that, but I'm still hoping that someone from This is Us will prevail.
Should Win: Metz
Will Win: Colman.
Be back Monday with my reactions.
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