Well, its official. Awards season
is here. And though it's not my favorite of the pre-Oscars-Emmys award shows
(we'll get to that next week(, it's always pleasing to try and see who will end
up winning the Golden Globes in the various TV categories. Sometimes, they stay
remarkably close to the previous years Emmys, other times, they can go in
complete different (and often deserving) directions. Last season, I was overjoyed
when The Night Manager pulled off
several deserving upsets, as well as some good wins for Atlanta and black-ish.
These awards are notoriously
difficult to handicap, but I'll do my best.
BEST DRAMA
Though I'd like to see an upset for
Stranger Things, I have a feeling its
going to go to one of two series: This is
Us or The Handmaid's Tale. Since
the Globes often go to the beat of their own drummer, I think that there's a
better chance that the prize will go to This
is Us. Though you can never be certain whether they'll go political.
Should Win: This is Us/
Stranger Things
Will Win: This is Us/Handmaid's Tale.
BEST ACTOR, DRAMA
Tough call. One would expect it to
go to either Sterling Brown, whose work on This
is Us is magnificent, or Bob Odenkirk, who's deserved some kind of
recognition from the Globes for the last
three years. But I have a feeling the dark horse in the race is Freddie
Highmore. I know the Globes honored him for
the wrong series (his work in Bates Motel
was far better than in The Good Doctor) but the Globes have a
history of honoring what is shiny and new rather than the more distinguished
prize. Still, I think Brown might have a chance considering he was overlooked
last year for American Crime Story.
Should Win: Brown.
Will Win: Brown/Highmore.
BEST ACTRESS, DRAMA
You would think that Elisabeth Moss
would be the easiest win of the night, considering how popular she was for her
win for Handmaid's Tale. But the
Globes have a habit of not always playing by the rules, particularly for the ladies.
Which is why I think there's a real chance Maggie Gyllenhaal will emerge
triumphant for The Deuce. Considering
that three years back, she managed a similar upset against Frances McDormand, I
think there's a very good chance she'll prevail here.
Should Win/Will Win: Gyllenhaal
BEST COMEDY
This is a tough one to pierce as
most of the candidates are more than deserving. I'd like to see Marvelous Mrs. Maisel prevail - it is a
Palladino series - and they're at least fifteen years overdue for a win somewhere. And Amazon has had more luck in this category
than Netflix. But somehow I have a feeling the Globes will go for series that's
even more energetic and female run - Showtime's SMILF. It's another brilliant series in the Showtime tradition of
great female-led comedies, and it has more seriousness than most of them.
Should Win: Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Will Win: SMILF
BEST ACTOR, COMEDY
Since there's no shiny new face in
this category, and no real front-runner, I'm going to go out on a limb and say
that it's going to go to one of the more seasoned actors in the category.
Anthony Anderson has been owed a win from the Globes for awhile, but I'm going
to give the slightest of edges to Aziz Ansari. He's a remarkable talent in Master of None, and this seems to be the
year of the hyphenate, I think its more likely that he will be recognized over Anderson
admittedly rich field of comic gold.
Should Win/Will Win: Ansari.
BEST ACTRESS, COMEDY
The most engaging performance all
year was Pamela Adlon's work in Better Things,
but due to the iC.K. factor, she doesn't have a chance. I think this award
will come down to one of three women. Rachel Brosnahan, Issa Rae or Frankie
Shaw.
Brosnahan's work is by far the most
engaging, and there is good argument that she's due. But I'm giving the edge to
Shaw for her superb work in SMILF. Woman
at the head of the Showtime's comedies have always done well in this category,
and some of the seriousness involved will give Shaw the edge.
Should Win: Brosnahan
Will Win: Shaw.
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