Friday, January 5, 2018

My Picks for this Years Golden Globes, Part 1

Well, its official. Awards season is here. And though it's not my favorite of the pre-Oscars-Emmys award shows (we'll get to that next week(, it's always pleasing to try and see who will end up winning the Golden Globes in the various TV categories. Sometimes, they stay remarkably close to the previous years Emmys, other times, they can go in complete different (and often deserving) directions. Last season, I was overjoyed when The Night Manager pulled off several deserving upsets, as well as some good wins for Atlanta and black-ish.
These awards are notoriously difficult to handicap, but I'll do my best.

BEST DRAMA
Though I'd like to see an upset for Stranger Things, I have a feeling its going to go to one of two series: This is Us or The Handmaid's Tale. Since the Globes often go to the beat of their own drummer, I think that there's a better chance that the prize will go to This is Us. Though you can never be certain whether they'll go political.
Should Win: This is Us/ Stranger Things
Will Win: This is Us/Handmaid's Tale.

BEST ACTOR, DRAMA
Tough call. One would expect it to go to either Sterling Brown, whose work on This is Us is magnificent, or Bob Odenkirk, who's deserved some kind of recognition from the  Globes for the last three years. But I have a feeling the dark horse in the race is Freddie Highmore.  I know the Globes honored him for the wrong series (his work in Bates Motel was far better than in The Good Doctor) but the Globes have a history of honoring what is shiny and new rather than the more distinguished prize. Still, I think Brown might have a chance considering he was overlooked last year for American Crime Story.
Should Win: Brown.
Will Win: Brown/Highmore.

BEST ACTRESS, DRAMA
You would think that Elisabeth Moss would be the easiest win of the night, considering how popular she was for her win for Handmaid's Tale. But the Globes have a habit of not always playing by the rules, particularly for the ladies. Which is why I think there's a real chance Maggie Gyllenhaal will emerge triumphant for The Deuce. Considering that three years back, she managed a similar upset against Frances McDormand, I think there's a very good chance she'll prevail here.
Should Win/Will Win: Gyllenhaal

BEST COMEDY
This is a tough one to pierce as most of the candidates are more than deserving. I'd like to see Marvelous Mrs. Maisel prevail - it is a Palladino series - and they're at least fifteen years overdue for a win somewhere.  And Amazon has had more luck in this category than Netflix. But somehow I have a feeling the Globes will go for series that's even more energetic and female run - Showtime's SMILF. It's another brilliant series in the Showtime tradition of great female-led comedies, and it has more seriousness than most of them.
Should Win: Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Will Win: SMILF

BEST ACTOR, COMEDY
Since there's no shiny new face in this category, and no real front-runner, I'm going to go out on a limb and say that it's going to go to one of the more seasoned actors in the category. Anthony Anderson has been owed a win from the Globes for awhile, but I'm going to give the slightest of edges to Aziz Ansari. He's a remarkable talent in Master of None, and this seems to be the year of the hyphenate, I think its more likely that he will be recognized over Anderson admittedly rich field of comic gold.
Should Win/Will Win: Ansari.

BEST ACTRESS, COMEDY
The most engaging performance all year was Pamela Adlon's work in Better Things, but due to the iC.K. factor, she doesn't have a chance. I think this award will come down to one of three women. Rachel Brosnahan, Issa Rae or Frankie Shaw.
Brosnahan's work is by far the most engaging, and there is good argument that she's due. But I'm giving the edge to Shaw for her superb work in SMILF. Woman at the head of the Showtime's comedies have always done well in this category, and some of the seriousness involved will give Shaw the edge.
Should Win: Brosnahan

Will Win: Shaw.

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