OUTSTANDING TV MOVIE OR LIMITED SERIES
Essentially, this is a two series race. It’ll come down to either The Undoing or The Queen’s Gambit. The Undoing was the most nominated Limited Series, and it’s from HBO, which has dominated this category over the past decade. The Queen’s Gambit has developed a huge crossover appeal and after When They See Us was shut out last year, an argument could be made Netflix was overdue in this category. I personally feel that The Undoing was the better series, but I’m going to give the barest of edges to The Queen’ Gambit.
Should Win: The Undoing.
Will Win: The Queen’s Gambit
OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A TV MOVIE OR LIMITED SERIES
Bryan Cranston was superb in Your Honor, but the series overall was lacking. Jeff Daniels was fine in The Comey Method, but I think Trump fatigue is overwhelming. There’s a very good case for Ethan Hawke in The Good Lord Bird – he’s a great actor, it was a fine series, and he’s due – but no other nominations for the series will hurt.
I think it comes down to the two nominees for the HBO series. Mark Ruffalo gave a master class of acting in two different roles in I Know This Much is True, and he did win the Emmy last year. Hugh Grant was extraordinary in The Undoing and this would be a fine way to honor his late career renaissance. I’ll give the barest of edges to Grant, but Ruffalo has a better chance.
Should Win: Ruffalo/Grant.
Will Win: Ruffalo. (Now remind me why Chris Rock wasn’t nominated?)
OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A TV MOVIE OR LIMITED SERIES
I don’t think either Daisy Edgar-Jones or Shira Haas have much of a chance. Cate Blanchett really deserves recognition for her exceptional work in Mrs. America, but I think her moment has passed.
It comes down to either Nicole Kidman or Anya Taylor-Joy. Kidman’s performance in The Undoing was the one that everybody was talking about last fall, but she’s received more than her fair share of recognition from the Globes. Taylor-Joy’s performance was a masterpiece in subtlety and she has the momentum. (Besides, this’ll make up for almost certainly losing for Emma.)
Should Win/Will Win: Taylor-Joy.
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A SERIES, MOVIE OR LIMITED SERIES
Jim Parsons has no realistic chance. Brendan Gleeson gave a good performance, but again, people just want to ignore Trump everywhere. John Boyega is a dark horse.
I think this’ll come down to a showdown between Daniel Levy for Schitt’s Creek and Donald Sutherland for The Undoing. I don’t know if the momentum for Schitt’s Creek will carry over and it’s been more than seven years since an actor from any series won in this category. I’ll give the barest of edges to Sutherland, keeping in mind that these are often the categories with the biggest surprises.
Should Win: Gleeson.
Will Win: Sutherland.
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A SERIES, MOVIE OR LIMITED SERIES.
In all my years of observing the Golden Globes, I honestly don’t remember the last time every nominee was from an actual television series. That’s remarkable in itself (Though I would’ve liked to have seen Jessie Buckley here.)
The only nominee who seems completely out of the running in Cynthia Nixon for Ratched. Otherwise, there’s a good argument for the other four nominees. Garner has already won two Supporting Actress Emmys. Murphy won the Emmy last year, and the Schitt’s Creek juggernaut could carry her. Both Gillian Anderson and Helena Bonham Carter gave master classes of acting in The Crown. It’s a very close question, but I believe Anderson’s incredible work as Margaret Thatcher will carry the day. The Globes has given trophies to actors who play Prime Minister’s before, and Anderson had an impressive track record from her time with The X-Files. Bare in mind though, this is the category where the most surprises historically come.
Should Win/Will Win: Anderson.
Be back Monday with my reactions to the results.
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