Wednesday, March 13, 2024

My Assessments of Presidential Greatness, part 3: Andrew Johnson Through McKinley

 

Andrew Johnson (1865-1869)

If you’ve read my recent series on Andrew Johnson, you know that I think he has been treated unfairly by history and historians. And his reputation has plummeted over the last twenty years. He is now considered a failure and the current poll says that only Buchanan is worse than him.

I don’t think that’s entirely fair. Yes his challenges to Congress were ill-conceived and he had no ability to see which way the winds were blowing. But he did come to power and the most traumatic time in our nation’s history to date and did manage to successfully end the Civil War. I’ve already made it clear his impeachment was essentially a witch hunt made by the opposition that was involved in legislative overreach rather than any high crime or misdemeanor. As for his failures with Reconstruction and his decisions to issue amnesty for all the Confederates, all of them were closer to what Lincoln had in mind than Congress and he has suffered mainly because everyone thought Lincoln would have done a better job even though we have no idea what it was.

I think Johnson is being crucified for his views which, sad to say, were not uncommon at the time and that not even most Northerners shared. To view him as the worst President is mainly due to the impossible circumstances he took office under and the situation he tried to negotiate with.

I think history has terrifically undervalued Johnson. I don’t think he would ever be a great President but to consider him among the very worst is completely unfair. He needs to be considered average, which may not seem like much but is far better than his current ranking.

My Assessment: Deserves to rank among the Middle Rather Than The Worst

 

 

 

 

Ulysses S. Grant (1869-1877)

By contrast Grant’s reputation has vastly improved over time. For decades he was considered one of the worst Presidents ever,  one of the major failures in the office. But in the most recent ranking he has shot up nine spots to go all the way to seventeenth which puts him almost at the average category. Have we overcorrected or did we undervalue him?

First of all everyone does acknowledge that Grant’s administration was corrupt but that he himself was honest. That’s basically true of every politician in the 1870s in either party. He also supported the Fifteenth Amendment, was the last President for eighty years to back a Civil Rights bill, and strongly enforced Reconstructions. He was also immensely popular, easily won reelection in 1872, many wanted him to run for a third term and he actually tried to in 1880. Those are the pros.

Against him: he might have been fundamentally honest, but he was a really bad judge of character, considering how many people he appointed had to resign because of corruption. (He holds the record with 5 Attorneys General in his administration.) And in the midst of his administration, the Panic of 1873 occurred and the nation nearly went into another depression on his watch, which he did very little to help. The divide of the one percent was very visible in his administrations, perhaps more than any other. Throw in the fact he was an alcoholic, and I’m not sure how good his judgment was.

I think we’ve overcorrected. Grant was not the worst President ever, clearly, but he was far from a good one. Indeed, he’s one of the best examples of why we should not let people with no political experience run for, nor serve as President. At best he deserves a consideration of below average, no higher.

My Assessment: Not as Bad as He Was Remembered, Not As Good as We Seem to Think he is Now.

 

Rutherford B. Hayes (1877-1881)

This is a tough one. Hayes lost the popular vote and the electoral college but because of corruption on the Republican side and an electoral commission as weighted for his party as the Supreme Court was in 2000, he won the Presidency. As a result, we nearly had another civil war before he was sworn in.

Part of the bargain that the Republicans made was that Hayes would end Reconstruction, which essentially led to the Jim Crow era and the South remaining where it was for the next eighty years. Long-term he may deserve blame for it, but I do think this was inevitable at some point. He also tried Civil Service reform but he failed they’re too. And he decided not to run for reelection, given how he’d come into office.

Hayes has been ranked as average for decades and that’s basically where he is now. I see no compelling reason to go against the opinion.

My Assessment: No Reason to Change.

 

Chester Arthur (1881-1885)

After Garfield finally died of his wounds in 1881, Republicans said: ‘Chet Arthur as President! God help us!” But Arthur actually did better than anyone could have expected given he was on the ticket as a product of the spoils system.

Indeed, not long after Garfield’s assassination civil service reform finally happened and Arthur advocated for it strongly. He signed the Pendleton Act, which created the modern civil service system. He also argued against the Chinese exclusion act, which was becoming a big issue at the time. Neither of these did much to increase Arthur’s popularity and he was denied renomination by Republicans. In truth, he did not wish: he was suffering from Bright’s disease an illness of the kidneys and in poor health. A year and a half after leaving office, he died from it at the age of 57.

Arthur’s initial reputation is that of average, but over the last few years he has dropped to the below average category, very close to the group that are considered failures. I don’t think that’s quite fair. I think the average ranking him suits him.

My Assessment:  Deserves to Be Considered Average.

 

Grover Cleveland (1885-1889, 1893-1897)

Cleveland’s place in history has been the only President to serve two non-consecutive terms. He’s also one of two Presidents to win the popular vote three times but the electoral college only twice. Cleveland’s reputation was built on the fact that he was a reformer and the Republican opponent in 1884, James G. Blaine was a symbol of corruption so great that Republicans switched parties to vote for him. In his first term, he enlarged the Civil Service and opposed high tariffs, saying that they were unfair to farmers and workers. Supporting that cause eventually cost him reelection in 1888.

I suspect if he had just let it be we might still regard him as above average. But the very election that gave him his place in history led to his fate. Not long after he took office in 1893, a severe economic depression hit the country and organized labor, which had been building up volume for decades became such a factor that the power of the union became fully realized for the first time. As a result, though he might have been able to run again in 1896 he couldn’t put his name in renomination.

Cleveland was once considered above average, even near great but his reputation has been dropping over time. He is now ranked 26th, which puts him right on the cusp of being average. A lot of this may be due to the rankings of so many recent Presidents (many of whom are overrated) but his second term did much to drag down his national reputation. If he had been a one-term President we might think more of him, but his two terms were not equal and I think that’s the right call.

My Assessment: History Has (Non-Consecutively) Caught Up With Cleveland

 

 

Benjamin Harrison (1889-1893)

Benjamin Harrison, until fairly recently, was the last President to win despite losing the popular vote. It was actually a lot closer: Cleveland only beat him by 95,000 votes but New York, which had gone for Cleveland four years earlier, went to Harrison instead.

That aside Harrison was one of the first Republican Presidents to openly be on the side of big business, supporting laws that outlawed business combines that restrained trade and approved high tariffs which protected U.S. industries. He also managed to win the White House by his family legacy – he was the grandson of William Henry Harrison, which opened a lot of doors for him. In the next election he was absolutely routed by Cleveland and probably deservedly.

Benjamin Harrison ranks at the cusp between average and below average, which is where he’s always been. I see no reason to change.

My Assessment: No Better and No Worse Than He Deserves.

 

 

William McKinley (1897-1901)

 

McKinley was the last Civil War veteran from Ohio to win the Presidency. Believe it or not, from 1868 to 1896, if you were a Republican that’s basically all the qualifications you seemed to need to both get nominated and win. All except Grant had held elected office, either Governor or Congressman, and in McKinley’s case he’d been both. He managed to win the Presidency on the campaign for both high tariffs and backing U.S. money on the gold standard. (Don’t ask me to explain what bimetallism was; I’ve been reading about it for twenty years, I still have no idea what it means) Once he became President, that’s essentially how our currency was handled.

That said, most of his first term was essentially dominated by the Spanish-American War which he opposed but his administration and outside forces basically started, let happen and won. This is where the march towards U.S. imperialism begins and while McKinley wasn’t an active participant, he didn’t use his power to get it stopped.

McKinley was not much liked even by some of his fellow Republicans; the Speaker of the House famously said that McKinley “had all the backbone of a chocolate éclair’. That is no doubt why big business and the party bosses liked him so much – and why labor agitators and anarchists found him a symbol of everything they found wrong with the status quo. The public loved him because times were good and the country was coming out of the depression. When he was assassinated in 1901 the nation mourned a great loss.

McKinley ranks basically among the average Presidents and but he has been dropping steadily over the last several polls, he was once as high as 19th and now has dropped practically dead center at 24th. He may drop below average soon but I think his ranking is accurate

My Assessment: Still Ordinary.

 

In the next part I will go from the end of the Progressive era to the Great Depression.

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