Introduction
As I've mention in some of my articles on
the subject I'm the son and grandson of relatively well-known historians. Perhaps
for that reason I have long taken great offense at those so-called scholars who
make their living selling tomes in which they revise American history to fit
their various political agendas.
This has been going on for decades, perhaps
even centuries and in a sense it has been unavoidable. Biographers and certain
scholars will go out of their way to frame their subjects in the most favorable
light possible. I accept that as an inevitability. What I find far more
despicable are academics and writers who clearly have an axe to grind and have
made up their mind about the subject of their work before they even picked up a
pen and then choose to cherry-pick statistics and information in order to make
their work fit what they've already decided is the fact.
To be very clear this is something both
conservatives and progressive academics are equally guilty of. I have more than
enough examples available that I encountered well before the rise of social
media and even the current political climate. And I have no doubt that, the
less research and actual work that a generation raised on screens and gets
their news on YouTube and TikTok is willing to do, it's only going to get worse
in the years and decades to come. I've already seen quite a few examples of it in the last few years.
As someone who has history in his blood I
take these revisionists with a very harsh eye whether they are the Howard Zinns
of the world or the Dinesh D'Souza's. In a way I find their offenses worse then
those of the current generation: as they are more educated and can see the
effect this has on the world, they should know better. These sins are far from
the worst in our polarized political America but if you have read my historical
articles you understand why I take it more personally then most.
This series will be an attempt to look at
the violations of this trust that both the far left and the far right have been
more than guilty of in the far-too-many works of revisionist propaganda they
have sold to the public as history. Because I try to show my work when I point
out the flaws in their research I'm going to show some of the volumes I've used
that contradict their agendas. Considering many of them existed at the time
they did their research the fact that they were aware of them and chose to
ignore them demonstrates their deliberate actions to mislead their readers on
the past in the same way that cable news and social media have been doing about
the present.
And because of a historic date that we will
be talking about ad infinitum in the next week, I feel that's as good a place
as any to jump right in.
Part
1: Post Hoc, Ergo Prompter Hoc
Sixty
Two Years Later There's Still No Proof JFK Wouldn't Have
Started
the Vietnam War
Not long after being sworn into
office Harry Truman would say: "Heroes know the time to die."
He would say he was talking about
Lincoln but anyone who knew him was aware he was just as easily talking about
FDR. And since Truman was fine using an assassination as a metaphor I don't see
any reason not to use that same phrase could explain why so many people feel
this way about John F. Kennedy.
That comparison is not fair in
many ways: Lincoln and FDR usually finish one, two when they are ranked my historians
as the greatest Presidents in history and for all their very real flaws both
men more than merit this ranking. As I've argued multiple times in my articles Kennedy
is without question the most overrated President in history not just in comparison
to those above but to the other 46 holders
to the office to this point. That he
almost always ranks in the top ten above -and in the most recent ranking he is tenth
all time (ahead of among others James Madison, Woodrow Wilson and Andrew
Jackson) makes it clear that he has a special place in history. He is the only
President in history who is given a high grade because of his potential rather
than his achievements.
This is where the comparison to
Lincoln and FDR is the clearest. It's not just their accomplishments that cause
some historians to hold them in high regard but the track record of their
successors in the aftermath of their rise to power that makes them think higher
of them. This logic was best summed up by our most famous fictional President
on The West Wing in the second episode
The episode's title is Post Hoc,
Ergo Propter Hoc which is Latin for: "after it, therefore because of
it." As Bartlet states: "One thing follows the other, therefore that
first thing caused the other. But it's not always true, in fact its hardly ever
true."
Once you understand that statement
a certain regard for each President makes sense.
Had he lived Abraham Lincoln would
have been able to bring about a fully realized version of racial equality and
healing in Reconstruction. How do we know this? Because Andrew Johnson screwed it
up when he had the chance. Post hoc, ergo propter hoc.
Had he lived FDR would have
managed to negotiate with Stalin in a peaceful manner and the post-war world
would have been one where the Cold War never took place. How do we know this?
Because under Truman relations between America and the Soviet Union completely
broke down leading to the Cold War. Post hoc, ergo propter hoc.
Had JFK not been assassinated he
would not have expanded our involvement in Vietnam and the Vietnam War and all
of the ramifications our nation is suffering from to this day would never have
happened. How do we know this? Because LBJ expanded our involvement in Vietnam
and starting fighting a war they knew we couldn't win. Post hoc, ergo propter
hoc.
The latter, of course, has
essentially become the grist mill for the greatest conspiracy theory of all
time, certainly the most famous among many in the left. Oliver Stone has spent
much of the last thirty years preaching it from the rooftops in both his
fictional films and documentaries despite the fact he has no more evidence then
when he began and what he does have actually comes from a genuine conspiracy
theorist. But it's more or less dogma among so much of our entertainment mill,
whether it comes from The X-Files or even standup comedy. Bill Hicks
actually joked that Kennedy was killed in order to keep all future Presidents in-line.
That in sixty years no evidence has come to contradict the Warren Commission
and more evidence has come to light contradicting the central thesis of this
argument – that there was no indication that Kennedy planned to tone down the
war in Vietnam and was doing much to actively expand it – has done nothing to
eradicate this logic in the minds of true believers.
I'm not going to discuss that
conspiracy theory because I'm not going to give those theories oxygen. Instead
I'm going to concentrate on what will no doubt be regurgitated ad infinitum
again and again: the myth that JFK would never have gotten us deeper into the
Vietnam War.
Let's start with the fact that
Kennedy was ever considered soft on communism. He famously ran to the right of
Richard Nixon during the 1960 campaign, his administration was actively
involved in multiple plots to assassinate Fidel Castro during his term and in
many cases worked with the Mafia hand in glove to do so. I will give credit to him for getting us
through the Cuban Missile Crisis to be sure, but at the end of the day he did
so through the same diplomatic solution that Ambassador Adlai Stevenson
suggested at the start of the crisis and was essentially left out in the cold
from that point until the end of it. Never
mind the fact that had it not been for sheer fate and human error the nuclear
apocalypse might still have happened anyway.
Leading up to November of 1963 the
administrations hands weren’t exactly clean involving Vietnam even as they
spoke about not getting further involved in the war. Just a month before
Kennedy was assassinated, the President of South Vietnam Ngo Dinh Diem was
overthrown in a coup. The CIA knew about this but did nothing to stop it or his
assassination. Even Robert Kennedy himself acknowledged in an interview not
long before he began to consider his challenge to Johnson that based on the
information they had at the time, Kennedy would have likely increased the
number of soldiers involved. Of course Bobby didn't make that part of his 1968
Presidential campaign.
The
clearest argument about the fallacy behind LBJ's actions is the same one that
so many historians ignore in regard to Harry Truman's and Andrew Johnson's when
they took office. The latter two ascended to the President in the midst of a
national crisis: when both Johnson and Truman became President the major
conflict their predecessor had been involved was close to ended but not yet
resolved. Both men had not been privy to their predecessors plans for the war
nor the peace afterwards. Both had to deal with agreeing to bring about continuity
with no real knowledge of what that would look like. Lincoln's is more forgivable
then FDR's (the latter famously never shared his strategy for a post-war world
then anyone, much less his likely successor) but in each case the man who had
the vision and the majesty to lead America forward was gone suddenly and the Cabinet
and his advisors had only the vaguest idea of what that world would look like.
To
be sure both Vice Presidents (particularly Andrew Johnson) were flawed men and
both are guilty of numerous mistakes going forward. But in this revisionist
thinking the circumstances of their coming to power is never considered in
regard to what they did next. And because both of their predecessors were dead
it's easier to say that Lincoln or FDR – or JFK – would have done the right
thing because no one can prove a negative.
In
Johnson's case its worth remembering he retained Kennedy's cabinet and kept the
majority of them in those positions after he was reelected. (The sole exception
of note is Bobby Kennedy.) Given the fact that men like Rusk, Bundy and McNamara had been extremely cold war acolytes
well before they took office there's no evidence to suggest that they would
give different advice at the Gulf of Tonkin to JFK had he lived then they did
give to LBJ. And considering that the circumstances would have been the same –
Kennedy would have been facing reelection and would have wanted to shore up
support from his right to neutralize Goldwater – what evidence is there that
Kennedy would have done anything differently?
For
that matter we have infinitely more evidence in the decades to come to back up
the fact that JFK, like all his family, saw everything through a political
lens. Those who worship the idea of Camelot choose to ignore Kennedy's
fundamental flaw when it came to the critical domestic issue of the era: civil
rights. As I wrote in an earlier article:
One of the administrations biggest
flaws was that it completely underestimated the brewing discontent among the
African-Americans in the South. When the Freedom Rides began in May of 1961,
John Lewis, one of those riders said that it was done as a test to the Kennedy
administration. When he was told about it, in fact, he thought it would serve
as a distraction to a meeting with Khrushchev and cast America in a bad light.
He demanded it to be called off, and only after being rebuffed did the Attorney
General order federal marshals to Alabama. Civil rights leaders such as Martin
Luther King, Ralph Abernathy and Thurgood Marshall publicly made it clear they
would not settle for words. Eventually he would order integration of public bus
stops but refused to either announce a civil rights bill – or even address it
in the State of the Union.
Kennedy’s approach when it came to
incremental change pleased few, and even after two years Kennedy only seem to
pay attention to civil rights when there were issues and crises. There were
plenty of those in the first two years of his administration but all of his
actions were devoted to solving the immediate crisis and not long-term
solutions. Kennedy was well aware of the balance of power the South had in the
Senate, but this did little satisfy those African-American voters who had voted
him in 1960. His deference to Southern members of Congress did not help him
legislatively; most opposed his domestic policies outright. Only in January of
1963 was a civil rights bill introduced in Congress – and it was introduced by
a group of House Republicans led by New York’s John Lindsay.
Kennedy was more or less
embarrassed into action by this and the following February introduced a voting
rights bill with minor education provision and an extension of the Civil Rights
commission, among other minor details. It pleased no one and was swiped at by
everyone, especially Republicans like Governor Nelson Rockefeller. At this
point Humphrey was using his weekly leadership breakfasts to pester Humphrey
and stood firm even when Kennedy publicly rebuked him.
Finally in May, motivated by
massive protests in Birmingham in which King had been briefly jailed, Kennedy
finally realized he had to draft a major civil rights bill. No one in his
administration believed it had a remote chance of getting through Congress
before the 1964 election. Even Thurgood Marshall thought Kennedy’s action was
noble, but that he was betting his Presidency on the most polarizing issue of
the day.
I find it difficult to believe
that the Civil Rights Act of 1964 would have passed in anything close to the
form it came out had it not been for Kennedy's assassination. I really do believe
only a Southern President like LBJ as well as someone who clearly understood
how politics worked and how to manipulate the system could have gotten it done
in any measure.
And that's because for LBJ but
not JFK Civil Rights was a cause dear to his heart. It was in large part
due to his work as Senate Majority Leader the first civil rights bill had made
it through Congress since Reconstruction. That it was basically 'thin soup'
doesn't change the fact that LBJ made the effort and would do so again in 1960.
And for all his very real flaws LBJ did
have a sense of morality that I've never been convinced his predecessor had.
Johnson thought a Presidency should be used to do what he knew was right. By
all evidence JFK thought that should be ranked below political concerns.
There has always been a certain
elitism when it comes to progressive historians that for whatever reason causes
them to mock the kinds of working class people they claim to uplift. Truman wasn't
a college graduate, was a failed businessman, was far more salt-of-the earth
and spoke in a blunt fashion. Yet revisionists tend to prefer the upper class,
Harvard educated, millionaire of a political family that FDR was. Similarly JFK
came from a family of enormous wealth, much of it from corruption, was Harvard
educated, and had far less experience when he ran for President then the field
in 1960, among them LBJ. And yet for
decades Kennedy was the idealized hero to these same academics and LBJ the
villain. One doesn't deny there were valid reason to despise Johnson but in
order to do so JFK (and his entire family) was basically placed on a pedestal
and turned into saints while the flaws of their successors were essentially
magnified until they became all they were.
No one should deny the very real
tragedy of the assassination of JFK – it was one of the most seminal events in the
20th century. But one can't pretend that immediately afterwards the myth
of Camelot came into being and Kennedy has become the default for who all Presidents
that have come afterward must be compared to.
And not because of any legislation he passed or great policies he got
into law, the usual standard for a President's greatness, but because he lived
fast, died young and in the eyes of the world, left a good-looking corpse. Each
year we learn more and more about what a contemptible human being Kennedy was:
his womanizing, his connections to organized crime, how he basically started
turning the White House into an inner circle where only his closest colleagues
and family were given insight over the chain of command. When you throw in
everything we know about where his money came from and how so much of his rise
is due to his being on television, it's impossible for anyone to objectively not
compare him to the current President in so many ways.
But I'm certain that when those
reflections come in the next week, no one – certainly not Oliver Stone or Doris
Kearns Goodwin – will dare compare 35 to 45 (and 47). He will be hailed as a young
man cut down in his prime rather than a man who might very well have lost
reelection had he lived, a leader of stirring words that never truly matched
his actual actions, the kind of leader we should have today rather then the ones
we get. The possibility that Kennedy was no different then the ones we have
today, may in fact have been worse, is not the point and why would you like to
put a tarnish on a dead man? The fact that's basically been the job of so many
historians as well as the work of conservatives and progressives alike for
decades is something that never applies to JFK and probably never will.
Because like Truman said, he knew
the time to die. Before the bill came due, before history rushed to judgment,
before he made the same mistakes his successor did as well as ones unique to
him. That's how the world works with those we worship. Post hoc, ergo propter
hoc.
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