First of all the first major
awards show that has to deal with Season 3 of Euphoria is not
particularly high on it. It has a presence, probably more nominations it
deserves but the Astras don't seem to like it much more than their critics or
the fans do. For this relief much thanks.
We also see no real presence for Knight
of The Seven Kingdoms the most recent and exceptionally acclaimed series
from Game of Thrones. Ditto Industry The Morning Show or more
strangely Slow Horses. And there
is a certain bizarre disconnect between what series are nominated for Best
Drama and those that receive the majority of the acting and other nominations.
So what is here?
DRAMA SERIES
The Diplomat, The Pitt, Paradise and Pluribus are almost
certainly going to be nominated. Heated Rivalry is ineligible.
Of the remaining five From is
an intriguing show that has never been able to break in. The Boys has
managed a presence before but its final season has been polarizing among both
critics and fans and its series finale underwhelming. Outlander has
never been able to make much headway at the Emmys.
Landman was nominated by the SAG-AFTRA
and other critics groups but to this point Taylor Sherdian's shows have never
been able to make an imprint at the Emmys. I'd really like to see High
Potential nominated for Emmys but I think Matlock has a better
chance. I'm shocked that there's so little presence by HBO here: not
just Euphoria but also Task and The Gilded Age. That
doesn't mean they're not going to be recognized, see below
BROADCAST NETWORK ENSEMBLE
Can't argue about High
Potential, Matlock or Will Trent. Grey's Anatomy and 9-1-1 are
perennial presences here. I'm kind of surprised to see Marshals here but
I guess that's the Taylor Sheridan effect.
CABLE DRAMA
Seriously? Euphoria over The
Gilded Age and Task? Then again they did nominate Welcome to
Derry so I shouldn't complain that much. From and Outlander were
listed above.
I really do think The Audacity
deserves to be considered for nominations and will be advocating for it in
my predictions in the weeks to come. I'd have preferred either Dark Winds or
Dexter: Resurrection to The Beauty.
STREAMING ENSEMBLE
Paradise, The Pitt and Pluribus deserve to be here. The Boys and
Stranger Things are odd choices over Slow Horses. I don't know
about Landman.
BEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Sterling K. Brown, Noah Wyle,
Gary Oldman and Mark Ruffalo are locks for nominations. Walton Goggins was
nominated by the Emmys for Fallout for Season 1 and could repeat. Billy
Bob Thornton has received nominations from the Golden Globes for Landman.
Sam Heughan has little chance of
being nominated for Outlander and Antony Starr has less for The Boys.
Billy Magnussen for The Audacity is another story: there has been a
lot of buzz for his performance and the Emmys do have a habit of nominated lead
actors from AMC series. I think he has a better chance than perennial favorite
of mine Ramon Rodriguez for Will Trent.
Decent group. I could argue for
Harold Perrineau for From but basically fine.
BEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA
Kathy Bates, Rhea Seehorn and
Keri Russell have been nominated by every awards show group at the end of 2025
and Carrie Coon was nominated for Season 2 of The Gilded Age. Zendaya may still be able to
carry over for Season 3 of Euphoria though her odds of a three-peat are
dropping like a stone.
In descending order of likelihood
Ella Purnell might get in if there's enough momentum for Fallout: she's
been a force in TV during the 2020s and deserves recognition. Olson might be
able to get in if there's enough of a push for Hacks and Michelle
Pfeiffer could pull it out for double dipping as well. Chase Infiniti's
presence depends just how much the Emmys wants to honor The Handmaid's Tale anymore
and given how it dropped off the map for its final seasons I think the answer
might be know. Angela Bassett deserves recognition but I don't think she'll
ever get it.
I'm slightly surprised Helen
Mirren isn't here for Mobland but maybe the Golden Globes were an
anomaly.
SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA
Billy Crudup and Tom Pelphrey
have been among the few constants in the awards in the end of year awards.
Patrick Ball will probably be for The Pitt and James Marsden deserves to
repeat for his work in Paradise. Zach Galifinaakis has now received his
second award nomination for The Audacity which means he will likely be
considered. Shawn Hatosy has decided to go for Best Supporting Actor for The
Pitt and considering he won as Best Guest Actor last year I think he'll
carry over.
Personally I would love to see
Jason Ritter considered for Matlock or Bill Skarsgard for recreating
Pennywise in Welcome to Derry. I think Jack Lowden has a better chance
of getting nominated then either Jamie Campbell Bower or Jensen Ackles. Why are
they here instead of Lowden? Who knows?
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN
A DRAMA
The Pitt gets a lot of love, deservedly.
Katherine LaNassa and Taylor Dearden strike me as lock with Isa Briones next.
I'm less sure of Sepideh Moafi at this point.
Alison Janney was robbed of a
nomination last year for The Diplomat; the Emmys will make it right this
year. Christine Baranski is a shoo-in for The Gilded Age as she was
nominated for Season 2. I'd like to see Emilia Jones considered for Task.
I have to say I'm disappointed to
see neither Kristin Scott Thomas for Slow Horses, Skye P. Marshall for Matlock,
Julianne Nicholson for Paradise or Karolina Wydra here for Pluribus.
I'll grant the considerable talent of Alfre Woodard, Jennifer Love Hewitt
and Rebecca Hell (here for The Beauty) but these are superior choices.
Still it's a good list and I'm glad not to see any presence from Euphoria in
either supporting category.
GUEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA
Eric Dane is clearly here for the
sentimental vote for Euphoria. Bradley Whitford will almost certainly be
nominated for The Diplomat. Giancarlo Esposito has been nominated for The
Boys before.
The rest of the nominees are
question marks. Paul Reiser may not get nominated for anything; Bill Pullman
has little chance for The Boroughs. As for Macaulay Culkin for Fallout,
you never know.
GUEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA
Shailene Woodley is the
frontrunner at the Emmys for Paradise and I'm glad to see Miriam Shor
for Pluribus. I'm always glad to see Kieran Shipka nominated for
anything and her work in Industry was superb. Isabella Rosellini was
magnificent in The Beauty. I'll withhold comment on Tai Anderson till I
see her work and I'm not sure if Elisabeth Moss can carry over to The Pitt.
DIRECTING AND WRITNG
Paradise, Pluribus, The Pitt and The Diplomat are nominated in both categories and will likely contend in both. Now to break it down for those in separate categories
Task will be contending for writing
and having seen The Audacity I think it deserves to as well. The
Gilded Age deserves to contend for direction as do Welcome to Derry and
Fallout. If The Boys earns a major nomination it will be for
directing. It's conceivable Industry will contend for writing. Much as
I'd like to see High Potential in the hunt for directing or writing, I
doubt it will. From and The Testament will likely contend for
nothing and just as like 9-1-1 and Will Trent will come up short.
Euphoria is nominated for nothing in either category which is correct
and neither is Slow Horses which is wrong.
In the Book to Screen category we
see A Knight of The Seven Kingdoms and The Testaments. This is
the only nomination the former series got at all from the Astras. Whether that
means the Emmys will similarly shaft it remains unclear but it is worth noting
that the Astras have been kind to House of The Dragon in its two
previous seasons, so the fact they've ignored a series that many feel is
superior is striking.
How much this tells us about what
the Emmys will do is unclear after the nominations. Its worth noting that
Season 4 of The Morning Show has essentially been shutout by the
majority of the other awards shows leading up to the Emmys save for Crudup.
This group has given an official boost to The Audacity that it didn't
have and perhaps for Matlock. Everything else pretty much falls along
the pattern of expected. The Astras have never been fans of Slow Horses at
any time, so Oldman's nomination is actually an outlier.
And the fact that the biggest
contenders on HBO for nominations didn't get nominated for Best Drama while an
HBO Max series that is ineligible did, is just another sign of how the Astra
beat to their own drum. Again I tip my hat. Don't always agree with them, can't
stay mad at them.
Tomorrow I'll wrap things up with
Limited Series/TV Movie and any other ephemera I consider useful.
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