As a student of American politics I've
always known that as long as political parties have existed there have been
battles over what positions to take. These fights involved everything from
slavery to economic issues to the rights of the common man to civil rights to
our increasing role in international politics. Almost all of these battles were
settled on the convention floor and either party would unify behind a candidate
that they believed best expressed those issues.
As the presidential primary developed
during the 20th century the voters were increasingly given a choice
into which candidates in each political party they thought best embraced the
worldview they shared. This sometimes led to schisms in both political parties
that led to very public fissures – Goldwater's takeover of the convention over
the Republican party regulars in 1964, the battles over the Vietnam War during
the 1968 and 1972 election - but during my lifetime (which essentially begins
at the 1980 election) these battles were basically all decided well before the
conventions took place. If this increasingly led to conventions becoming
performative and political theater, it was because both the Democrats and
Republicans had agreed on the concept of party unity in which whatever
internecine conflicts the candidates have had during the primary season are
resolved and you go in with a united front against the opposition until
November.
Now to a point I do agree when the
media talks about a battle being fought within the Democratic party during the
2026 election cycle, and while they might be inclined to use hyperbole
("battle for the heart and soul of the party", for example) I don't
deny that's its there. What I have a problem with, honestly, are the people who
are leading the loudest and biggest part of the opposition: the far left wing
of the party represented most prominently by Bernie Sanders in the Senate and
AOC and 'The Squad' in the House. Because the war that seem determined to wage
even if they bring the party down was settled by the voters at least by 2020.
And strangely enough the losers seem unwilling to acknowledge the severity of
their defeat.
I'm going to bring this up as often as
I have to: Bernie Sanders lost the 2016 primary to Hilary Clinton by a
considerable margin. He ridiculously overperformed because he was the only real
opposition to her and where he did well as in the caucus states where his
supporters could organize rather than the primary states where the Democratic
base shows up. Sanders would ultimately accept that but there's a good argument
none of his supporters ever have. A significant number of those who voted for
him in the primary would vote for Trump in the general, despite Sanders fully
endorsing Clinton when he conceded and on the campaign trail.
After Trump's upset win understandably
the Democrats were demoralized and many people did believe that Trump would
have lost if Sanders had been the nominee. The fact that they chose to try and
move the party in that direction was in a way the most normal thing the left
has ever done. The Democrats had to give a valid consideration to the
possibility they'd lost because they had rejected the left-wing of the party.
Sanders would spend the 2018 election
trying to fill the gap of party leader. That was also acceptable, with Hilary
having lost and essentially out of politics there was no unifying voice to fill that gap. Sanders then
tried to play the role of kingmaker and endorsed many candidates on the Justice
Democrats that formed after his defeat. And that's where people should have
started to wonder if Sanders was the man for the job. Because for all intents
and purposes he was a failure.
Not every candidate who ran as a Justice Democrats had Sanders' de facto
endorsement during the 2018 midterms but many did and the vast majority ended
up losing their primaries or their general elections badly. The one that should
have made the entire media realize the limit of Sanders' power was Christine
Halquist who ran as a Justice Democrat in Bernie's native Vermont. She lost to the incumbent Republican Phil
Scott in what was a landslide losing by nearly 15 percent of the vote while
Bernie got 67 percent in his reelection to the Senate outpolling Halquist by
over 73,000 votes.
This should have registered to anyone
paying attention that only Bernie could win with his platform, even in his own
state. And the point was driven home all
the harder during the 2020 primaries where he and fellow progressive Senator
Elizabeth Warren were ultimately trounced by the more moderate Joe Biden.
After Biden was elected President in
2020, combined with the failure of the
Justice Democrats to do well in the midterms and that despite the endorsement
of so many progressive such as Sanders, Sara Gideon lost reelection in a
landslide to incumbent Susan Collins, the message should have been clear to
anyone with a functioning brain cell.
Whatever the electorate might think about the Democratic Party as a
whole it didn't want the kind of policy that the Bernie-AOC wing embraced.
Sanders seems to have accepted that and was willing to work with the Biden
administration.
But critically AOC and her colleagues in the
House never have. For whatever reason – perhaps because they've been watching
Fox News for too long – they seem to believe they are the true voice of not
just the Democrats, but the American people. That the voters had so
overwhelming rejected the Justice Democrats that they'd barely been able to
find a sixth of the number of candidates to run for office that they had in
2018 should have been an even bigger sign that their politics weren't the kind
that most people were willing to run on.
If anything the 2022 midterms, in
which the Democrats historically overperformed, more or less confirmed this. No
new Justice Democrats were elected to office and one of the ones who had been
two years earlier Marie Newman, lost her seat in Congress. The battle was over,
the people had made their voices heard repeatedly.
And yet over the 2020s the Justice
Democrats have demanded the Democratic Party dance to their tune, despite not
having the political power within the base to back it up. It is conceivable
that it is because of the disaster that led to Biden being forced to step down
in July of 2024 is part of the reason the party establishment continues to
listen to them, believing that they need them for support in future elections.
But this falls apart when one
considers that by and large progressives have never been supportive of the
party unless the candidates meet their needs. During the Mississippi governor
race Tate Reeves, the Democratic candidate was in a close race but many on the
left rejected him because he was running as a pro-life candidate. To be clear
for any Democrat to have a chance to win national office in a deep red state
they must by design embrace far more conservative positions then one in a deep
blue one. And regardless of Reeves's personal views on the subject, with the
Mississippi legislature being a supermajority Republican there is no way he
could have passed pro-choice legislation and not had it immediately overridden.
And yet Mississippi progressives
essentially sat out the election. To be clear Haley Barbour was one of the most
scandal ridden governors in America at the time, having been involved in a
welfare corruption scandal that had made national news. There's no question
that his policies were actively hurting Mississippians. Yet many progressive
truly thought that even living under his governorship, that there was no real
difference between the two parties. And as a result Barbour narrowly won
reelection.
Those on the left reject all
institutions, most notably that of party unity. Many will openly say on social
media and the real one that they are fine if Democratic candidates who run for
office don't meet their progressive litmus test lose. Many of them will say in
other articles that the Republican party is destroying all that America is and
yet they've been notably lukewarm about embracing the Democrats even after
Trump's reelection.
And that's the real reason calling
this battle 'a civil war' is ridiculous. Because it's not a fight between two
evenly matched sides. It's a battle with a fringe group that compared to the
national party doesn't have anywhere near the power and influence in either
house of Congress, most state legislatures or governorships. Any wins the
national party has had in the decade so far have essentially come when the
party has gone where the voters are. That has meant, by necessity, going
to the center where most of the Democratic base and independents are. During my
lifetime it has by far been the biggest keys to our electoral success whether
through Clinton's 'Third Way', Howard Dean's 50 state strategy and the kind of
neoliberalism Obama preached.
The Bernie-AOC wing, by contrast, has
no policy victories to prove people want what its selling and no wins outside
the places where their bubbles tend to congregate. They can barely convince
Democratic primary voters to come out for them, and they have always lost when
they go onto a bigger stage such a statewide race. The electorate at large has
overwhelmingly rejected the candidates that stand for the policies Sanders and
his colleagues stand for. And Bernie continues
to have no real influence beyond his bubble. Earlier this cycle we saw this
play out when a left-leaning candidate he endorsed in a primary for the Utah 1st
district ended up losing in spectacular fashion to the more conservative Ben
McAdams.
The only reason the left has any
support is because of Harris' defeat in 2024. Yet with the notable exception of
Zohran Mamdani's win in NYC and a few primaries in very left-wing districts,
the voters have no more support for the Justice Democrats and the far left then
they did in 2016. The Democrats won the governorships in Virginia and New
Jersey in 2025 by campaigning on economic rather than the social justice issues
the left argues for, the overwhelming majority of its special election wins are
in places progressives don't get any support and the most likely winners of
critical Senate elections have been won by moderates as we saw when James
Talarico defeated Jasmine Crockett in a significant victory in Texas and Josh
Turek trounced Zack Wahls in Iowa by a bigger majority. The candidacy of Graham Platner, by contrast,
blew up in the left's face and it remains hard to believe Troy Jackson can do
any better. And the victories of Annie Andrews in South Carolina and Jamie
Davis in Louisiana are states where the Democratic Party is much weaker and
have little chance of success.
So that the left continues to think it
can hold the Democratic Party hostage is laughable when you consider they have
no real leverage and are basically refusing to support a party its never really
had much to do with historically.
Essentially their idea of holding the party hostage is putting guns to
their own heads – and saying even if you
meet their demands they might still shoot themselves anyway.
I won't argue the party hasn't made
its share of mistakes in my lifetime but the biggest one they've made is
negotiating with this brand of terrorists. It's been proven time and again they
don't need them to win elections and that they can't win them on their own. I
acknowledge everything involving Trump has screwed up so much of politics but
its worth noting that during this period the Republican have clung to the idea
of party unity and won while the Democrats have done a half-assed
job and keep losing. That they keep
listening to a side that has no victories to its credit historically as opposed
to a side that during the 21st century alone has multiple ones
is basically another sign of our own incompetence, not that the far left wing
of the party is correct about knowing what the electorate wants.
And few things could illustrate this
point more than a recent State Navigate poll involving the race for governor in
Wisconsin. Over the last few weeks the frontrunner for the Democratic
nomination is Francesca Hong, the socialist mayor of Milwaukee. Hong, like most socialists, has a huge
approval with young voters in Wisconsin, who are expected to turn out in record
numbers. To them the biggest issues are health care, affordability, social
issues and ICE. There are thirteen issues that impacted their vote. Hong led on
12 of them, most notably AI data centers and affordability. There's only one
she didn't lead in.
Whether or not she can beat the
Republican nominee Tom Tiffany.
I've rarely seen the progressive voter
encapsulated so perfectly then in this poll. The one thing that is the most important
when it comes to an ideal candidate in the eyes of pundits, politicians and election
observers is the least important consideration for the most devoted supporters
of Francesca Hong. The fact that the moment
Hong became the front runner Wisconsin went on websites started ranking
from Toss-Up to Lean Republican will likely do nothing to change the
minds of those who are devoted to her. To them, it's not whether you win or
lose elected office; it's whether you give the boilerplate progressive stump
speech while doing so even if you lose in a landslide. I'll deal with
the other ridiculous of this particular way of thinking in regards to Wisconsin
later but the fact that the progressive voters really think that a state that
went for Trump twice will vote for a far-left candidate in a statewide
race demonstrates just how much they're willing to take the Democratic Party
off a cliff in the name of ideological purity. It's a lesson that in a swing
state the Democrats can't afford to keep losing on even as the left insists on
it.
Historically the left has always
believed, in the world of Theodore White, that was is morally right is
politically sound. And they've made it clear that they would rather lose as
many elections as possible then change their mind on the subject. Since Sanders' arrived they've reached a
level of election denialism that rivals anything that happened in 2020: no
matter how many times they lose elections, they remain utterly certain that
their point of view is wanted by the masses and they have no desire to try and
meet anyone, least of all the voters, halfway.
I really do think that after the
midterms the Democratic leadership needs to force its fringe members to come to
Jesus, win or lose. They have the upper
hand after Platner imploded and they've always had all the cards anyway. The
left-wing of the Party has been fighting its Lost Cause since the 2016
Democratic Primary. It's time people like Schumer and Jeffries force terms of
surrender on them. They have the majority and as they know, the numbers are
what allow you have control. Bernie and his followers never had the numbers at
any time and they won't after this election. It's time they came back into the
fold and publicly admitted defeat, something they should have learned a long
time ago. They've certainly had enough experience with it, even by the
standards of Democrats.
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