Wednesday, October 25, 2023

Congressional Chaos Edition, Part 3: An Alternative Narrative on Obama's Presidency And How The Republicans in the House Learned - More Than You'd Think

 

Before we begin, I think it’s worth giving a brief summary of how many leftists tend to view the political history of America. I’ve given some versions of it many columns in this series, but it’s worthy reviewing it here.

According to the left, the first Democratic President was FDR.  Taking over from a decade of Republicans indulging big business, he helped bring the country out of the Great Depression, got the New Deal passed and helped win World War II. He did so, if you believe the leftist narrative, entirely on his own with no help from Congress of either party.  As I’ve mentioned, acknowledge the massive Democratic majorities he had in both houses would mean admitting that most of the critical Democrats were racist demagogues from the South and according to the leftist narrative, those have never been part of the Democratic coalition.

Ever since then, every single Democratic President has been a complete saint with no flaws or vices, neither personal nor political. Whatever failings they might have had at the time or in hindsight were entirely the fault of the Republican party and the South. (Neither were major threats to Democratic majorities for much of this time, but again the left never mentions that.)

Similarly since the Republican party came into existence, the only good president it has ever had was Abraham Lincoln. Every other Republican President has been a complete and utter villain with no redeeming virtues and even the good things that they did were accidental. If you believe the left, the term progressive has only come to existence within the last twenty years and no Republican has ever been one. All of this, of course, comes if you get a Democratic version of this; the more extreme leftists see that there has never been a good political party of any kind, that democracy is a sham for a special interest and any improvement that society has made is either accidental or never did enough for minorities.

This narrative has been, like so much in the last decade, been supercharged during the Obama presidency. By now, I don’t have to bother to repeat the talking points: the coming of Rush Limbaugh and Fox News, the rise of Newt Gingrich, and the rise of the Republican party to embracing pure and other racism since the start of the Reagan era if not earlier, first with dog whistles, now shouting out loud.  It conveniently leaves out the fact that for much of the Democratic Party’s existence, the racist demagogues were almost entirely Southern Democrats and that much of the party base was conservative until the 1960s.  It ignores that until fairly recently the most striking demagogues in history were Democrats from the South, from Ben Tillman to Huey Long to Harry Byrd and George Wallace.  Because this would mean looking at the warts on our party and extremists tend to ignore anything they don’t like, they basically have done just that.

Obama’s case is more complicated because he was African-American and therefore separating how much of the vitriol that was directed at him from being partisan to racism is nearly impossible. I have always been of the belief that any Democrat who was elected President in 2008 would have been the target of the same vitriol from the right that Obama ended up receiving; we certainly saw that when Hilary Clinton ran in 2016 and we saw a version of when Biden ran in 2020. I think the partisan divide solidified to such an extent by the 2004 Election that there was no way any Democrat President would face the same torrent of abuse from every aspect that existed then. It would have just taken a different form.

The narrative for everything that the Obama administration went through in 2008 is simple from a leftist perspective. The right was determined to destroy Obama from day one because they did not think he was ‘a real American’.  The billionaire class destroyed the idea for free speech with Citizens United and used the Tea Party to take a populist tones to destroy the Republican establishment. After John Boehner became Speaker in 2010, the creation of the Freedom Caucus and the rise of men to leadership like Kevin McCarthy, Paul Ryan and Eric Cantor became fundamentally responsible for overpowering any concept of Republican policy in favor or appearing on Fox News, destroying legislation and shutting down the government.  Eventually Boehner was unable to control this caucus and was forced out after the 2014 midterms and even though McCarthy was next in line, he was so repugnant to moderates that Paul Ryan became the  choice instead.  The Republican party became emboldened by populist figures and showboats which lead to the rise of Donald Trump in 2015 and the end of the GOP as we know it. All of this was done at the hands of Roger Ailes who did everything in his power to destroy discourse in society and helped Trump win the Republican nomination before he had to resign as head of Fox News. By that point, the powerful billionaire forces could no longer control the masses they had spent decades brainwashing for their own personal gain.

I can’t deny the facts about much of this narrative as far as they happened, except for the last statement. It’s a nice story as far as it goes because, like so many stories from the left, it means that all of the millions of people who voted for Republican candidates over this period, were little more than sock puppets not representative of ‘Real America’. However, I have certain opinions about the Obama administration that I think are worth discussing that the left does not want to acknowledge because it means that one of their ‘idols’ was flawed.

When Obama won election in 2008, it was in large part not merely because of dissatisfaction with the Bush White House but because of the financial crisis America was undergoing.  I am inclined to believe that whatever feelings Americans might have had towards Obama personally – and they were clear during the campaign – many were willing to let it go because they believed W’s administration was responsible and in these scenarios the party that’s in power pays the electoral price.

So after Obama won election he had the added responsibility of making sure that America did not completely self-destruct financially. This is where my opinion diverges from that of what happened next.

The left’s narrative has been that, rather than do the right thing and come together, Republicans in both Houses chose not to support the bailout of America that is believed helped save the economy in order to find an electoral gain going forward. While I’ll admit that sounds appalling, in the aftermath of the Depression in October of 1929, Herbert Hoover made a major effort to do everything he could  -   certainly in a way that many of his own party were shocked by – to help save the county. However, much of the legislation he tried to get through Congress after the 1930 midterms was blocked in the House by Democratic majorities. To be fair, many Democrats were just as conservative as some of their Republican colleagues and thought what Hoover was doing was dangerous – but the Democrats also wanted to make Herbert Hoover a one-term President. So the Republicans decision to barely offer support might be appalling – but it wasn’t unprecedented.

I’d also argue that Obama’s approach to the financial crisis was sorely lacking. Assuming that the bailout was necessary to save the economy, I think his and the Democratic Party next action should have been to pass sweeping legislation to ensure none of the factors that led to the collapse of the economy could ever happen again and make certain that if they did, the people responsible would face prison time. Not only would have this been the morally right thing to do, it would have been a brilliant political strategy going forward. Considering how much the crisis had resulted because of the deregulation that had carried on going back as far as the Reagan administration, Obama and the Democrats could have argued this was the Republicans crisis and that if they chose to vote against it, they would have put themselves on the side of criminals and economic monsters.

As even the left will admit Obama did not do that. They can make whatever argument they want about Dodd-Frank and how Republicans gutted it not long after it was passed, but the fact remains the bill that did get passed was already fundamentally toothless: it had gone from 400 regulations to just 38. And as we all know, no one went to jail for what happened in the crisis of 2008. Instead these titans of industry took these hundreds of billions of dollars and paid themselves huge bonuses.  

I find it striking that while the left loves to hail the movement known as ‘Occupy Wall Street’ and Bernie Sanders’ rise in the 2016 primaries as the sign of real miscontent, in the same breath they thoroughly dismiss the Tea Party movement as something that could have possibly been just as much a reaction. Say what you will about the funding and the candidates, but it leaves out the fact that these Republican ‘loudmouths’ won their primaries’ and election to the House in massive numbers.  Even if you want to argue about the deception involved (and hell, The Newsroom and The Daily Show were fine doing that) it leaves out the fact these people did not just materialize into office at the mere thought of people like the Kock Brothers.  No matter how insane the media thought they sounded, the Republican voters overwhelmingly in the summer and fall of 2010 into office – by a far bigger margin that the Republican Revolution in 1994.  You can argue as much as you want at how low the turnouts are in primaries or how little seriousness ‘the establishment’ paid (though according to the left’s narrative, they weren’t any better) but nearly 45 million Republicans voting for in that year. That was the biggest midterm swing since 1938; that should have meant some people were taking it seriously.

And at the end of the day, it might have hurt the Democratic party long term. Much as Obama had managed to built a landslide based on a coalition that relied heavily on identity politics (to an extent it was a more advanced model of the one George McGovern had tried and failed with in 1972) the fact remains that the party still didn’t do well with white-working class voters. Now as much the left and Democrats want to blame all of this on fundamental racism, it leaves out the fact the amount of discontent in the aftermath of the financial crisis.  Is it not unreasonable that the working-class permanent defection to the Republicans could be built out of frustration not merely of lost jobs and a bad economy but that they saw the Obama administration ‘solution’ do nothing to help them? No one got punished, there was no reform. Are we supposed to be shocked that they would listen to the next loud voice that offered comfort, even if it was a lie?  Indeed, the left’s reaction to this has subsequently been pretty much the same when it comes to those who live in the South: we’re better off without them.

And I have to say Obama’s actions during his first two years were a disappointment. I get that he campaigned on getting a national health care bill through Congress but considering the current Democratic concern – which not only should have included financial reform but passing legislation involving climate change – you would have thought Obama would have tried to put them first. Instead, his entire first two years were built on getting this through both Houses of Congress. Considering how much this weakened him politically even by the fall of 2009,  if Obama was the genius the left thinks he is, he would have been willing to fall back and try to get other legislation passed. He certainly could have gotten a lot done at least with the margins he had in the House.

I blame this part on inexperience: Obama had only been a one-term Senator and he hadn’t built up the time and energy building up relations in the Senate before he launched his run for the Presidency and certainly not in the House. And I will admit the partisan lines had hardened even before he went into office to such a way that any Democrats would have trouble going forward. But to just de facto blame this on racism and billionaires does too much to let the Obama administration of the hook for its flaws.

And to be clear it’s not like the Republicans offered anything in the range of constructive policy, and indeed they did focus entirely on performance such as nearly causing default and starting the era of government shutdowns on a quasi-regular basis. I also grant that John Boehner, much like Gingrich before him, was not able to control the forces that had been swept into office.

But again, all of this leaves out the fact that the voters seemed more inclined to embrace the performative over the legislative. In the spring of 2014, it looked like there was about to be bipartisan legislation passed for immigration reform. Then Eric Cantor, the House Majority leader, was shockingly defeated in a primary by Dave  Brat.

Cantor it’s worth noting, thought the bailout was a bad idea before Obama won the election. He’d help steer the STOCK act through Congress, which would force Congressman disclose their stock investments more regularly and transparently.  It passed by a near unanimous vote in the House.  But he lost by ten percent in his primary in part because he was concerned a ‘moderate’.  He was an efficient legislator in Congress – but his rejection seems to indicate that his district seemed to care more about performance. (Brat was defeated for reelection in the 2018 midterms.)

I’d also like to make an argument why, over the last decade, both parties seem to be more inclined to vote for the performative and loud over those who legislate. It comes back to an earlier argument I made: politics is boring. This is actually argue as a defense of democracy: a recent New Yorker article actually said: “when it’s working, democracy should be dull.” Well dullness doesn’t get national attention and it certainly doesn’t get good rating or coverage.

I am invested in politics in a way many Americans aren’t, and even I find much of it dull and hard to wade through.  I watch every Presidential and Vice-Presidential debate since 2000 and let me tell you something, they are dull even when they’re substantive.  I can’t imagine how dull so many Congressional and Senator debates are, both in a general and a primary.  There are hundreds of things I’d rather than do than watch one. I can’t imagine Americans who are less involved being any more invested.

And that’s the thing about the Freedom Caucus and frankly so many of the Republican politicians who have risen the power over the last decade – including Donald Trump. You can say a lot of things about them – the left certainly will, so will the mainstream media. The one thing you can’t say is they are politics as usual. Politics as usual is dull. If it was exciting, C-SPAN would be the highest rated cable network in history.

Demagogues, in both parties, have come to rise when people become frustrating with politics as usual. It has been true on a national level since George Wallace began running for President in 1964 and has been so on so many levels ever since.  The mainstream media wants to argue that so many Republican politicians and candidates speaking is like watching a trainwreck. Well, we all know how much Americans love to look at any kind of trainwreck or a national disaster.  Lest we forget, that’s often where the 24 hour news networks have their greatest successes – when they turn a camera on suffering and despair.  That’s driven media since the days of yellow journalism; we shouldn’t be shocked that the public likes in its politics as well.

The media wants to argue that it’s horrible to watch some of the things that have happened with the Republican Party these days. I’d argue a) not as many people are watching as you think and b) if it’s so horrible, you’re under no obligation to show it.  You can argue as much as you want that the media isn’t covering the issues Americans need to know about but again, they’re very complicated and not as interesting as a trainwreck.

This is the part that I don’t think so many in the media get about what has been going on with Republican leadership in the House these days. (I’ll get to what the left thinks of it in the next article.) They will use terms about ‘the destruction of major institutions, the GOP and democracy’ with horrified tones. That’s the thing that no one seems to get. Like so many of the institutions we seem to have relied on for years, the American people either doesn’t notice them or care about them particularly. It’s only when they start to disintegrate that they begin to raise a warning bell.  And as the left has noted for a very long time what’s bad for one major institution can be beneficial for them from a political or financial standpoint.

If the left really cared about democracy the way they claim to, then they would recognize the fundamental principle of its that it has to have two functioning parties.  They would look at what is going on with the GOP in the House over the past ten years with more than just the concern of people witnessing a traffic accident. They would do things to help the Republican party deal with the problems of its insurgents. They would find ways to work with them during even Republican administrations. When Republican candidates who are ‘establishment’ are facing danger from the extreme right (which they agree is dangerous) they make an effort to help them.

Instead, just as the right has, the left and the Democrats have done everything to make the crisis with the Republican party an opportunity to fundraise and to elect more Democrats. Every time there is the threat of a shutdown, every time there is a bill introduced that has no chance of passing but sounds dangerous, every time a candidate they don’t like – and that net keep getting big enough to the point it now includes the entire GOP – they see it is an opportunity to build up their base and get more Democrats elected.  Each time a Republican leader gets pushed out, they don’t even offer flowers before they argue the replacement will inevitably be worse and that the next step is to elect more Democrats so that it doesn’t happen. Even before the election of Donald Trump, the Democrats had made their message as clear as the Republicans seem to with the parties reversed: the destruction of America is entirely the fault of Republicans and only by getting more Democrats in power can we save it.  The collapse of institutionalist like Boehner and Ryan are something to be fundraised on, nothing more. If the Republicans have increasingly been acting like bickering babies, then the Democrat appeal is to be the grownup. But being a grownup means you have to help the babies when they are acting that way, not using the mess they make as an excuse for more grownups to come around.

In the penultimate article of this series, I intend to deal with Kevin McCarthy and why his blood and everything that follows in the aftermath of his destruction is as much on the Democrats hands as the Republicans.

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