Wednesday, June 21, 2023

My Predictions (And Hopes) For This Year's Emmy Nominations, Week 2, Day 3: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy

 

This isn’t quite my favorite category among the major nominees but it’s close.  Four of my favorite performers are certain to get nominations. The early awards shows were basically divided between Quinta Brunson and Jean Smart for the second season of Hacks. With the third season indefinitely delayed Brunson is the odds on favorite, though not a certainty.

This is an extremely strong category.  I realize a certain returning nominee will be Rachel Brosnahan for the final season of Marvelous Mrs. Maisel. I have absolutely no problem with that and am only excluded her because I did not watch the final season. Given the makeup of the earlier nominations most of these nominees are sure things. One is a dark horse that will get here eventually. Without further ado, here we go.

 

Christina Applegate, Dead to Me

If the Emmys ever had a sentimental bone in their body, Applegate would be a certainty to win this category. After being diagnosed with MS late last year, Applegate made it clear that this would likely be her final acting appearance. Applegate has been one of the greatest comic forces in TV history for more than thirty years since her stint on Married With Children and underrated work on the superb short-run series Up All Night and Samantha Who. She has only won a single Emmy in her entire career and she has already been nominated twice for her work as Jen on this magnificent show.  Even if Applegate wasn’t a sentimental favorite, her performance has been a master class: from the moment we met her dealing with the death of her husband very badly and the increasingly messy life she finds herself in with her unlikely and complicated friendship with Judy, this has been one of the funniest and most powerful character portrayals in comedy history and it came to a fitting – if melancholy – conclusion last year. I don’t know if Applegate will win this fall. But I will stick with my original statement at the end of my rave of the final season of Dead to Me: I would really like to see her up there.

Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary

Brunson has been almost since awards season begun, the almost certain winner for Best Actress in a Comedy for her incredible work as Janine, one of the most beloved leads of a comedy series in years.  And really, there is absolutely no reason she shouldn’t win. I was slightly disappointed that, after dominating so many of the awards prior to last year’s Emmys – particularly the HCA where she took three prizes, including Best Actress and Best Writing – she lost to Jean Smart. She did, however, win her first Emmy for writing so it wasn’t a total loss and Smart’s performance was magnificent.  The second season gave us even more reasons to love Brunson the actress as she tried to adapt to having broken up with her long term boyfriend, tried to begin her next relationship, dealt with the simmering tension between her and fellow teacher Gregory, which kept warming and in the season finale, making our hearts break, and her complicated relationships with her younger sister and her mother who we met in one of the last episodes of the season. (I have a feeling we’ll be seeing both Ayo Edebiri and Taraji P. Henson contended for Guest Actress nominees). Janine is always awkward, sometimes misguided, but her heart is always in the right place and we love her for trying so hard.  Brunson is enough of a talent that Abbott Elementary is really an ensemble show and so many of the other characters have their own wonderful arcs. But she has given herself a truly magnificent role and she will win for Best Actress. Likely this year, certainly down the line

Bridget Everett, Somebody Somewhere

In the case of Bridget Everett, I’m clearly ahead of the curve. She will someday get nominated for Best Actress and it will probably happen soon, but likely not this year. There are too many other contenders that are far more formidable and prominent. Given the way things are going, just like for the character she plays, it’s a matter of time both for her and this wonderful series. Sam is a character so good hearted but flawed you’re honestly stunned to see that’s she’s the lead on the same network whose most famous female led comedies in recent years have been Veep and The Comeback, absolutely brilliant show with utterly shallow and selfish lead characters. Sam is a good-hearted forty-ish woman from Kansas, whose most exciting goal in life seems to singing in a secret Kansas nightclub and hanging out with her gay best friend. That’s not to say she can’t be callous at times, as we saw more than once this season. But she’s warm and funny and a good sister in a way that most characters on TV – let alone the network that just brought us the Roys – aren’t.  When she sang Gloria at her friend’s wedding, it was one of the more quietly joyful moments of 2023 and purely happy. Somebody Somewhere is quietly building up an awards following, from the Peabodys, the HCA and most recently GALECA. I don’t think there’s quite enough momentum to put Everett over the top this year. But she’ll be there. Someday soon.

Selena Gomez, Only Murders in the Building

The biggest robbery in last year’s Emmy nominations when it came to comedy was the exclusion of Selena Gomez in favor of Elle Fanning for The Great.  Only Murders in the Building had been by far the biggest phenomena of the year among comedies: Gomez had already gotten a Golden Globe and a Critics Choice awards nomination and she ended up winning Best Actress in a Streaming Comedy from the HCA over not only Fanning but also Jean Smart. I could not comprehend why Gomez was shut out. Now it’s almost certain Gomez will be among the nominees this year, mainly because three of the major presences from last year – Smart, Kaley Cuoco and Issa Rae are ineligible. Fanning may very well end up being included, but it’s hard to comprehend shutting out Gomez’s incredible work as Mabel, whose performance was just as incredible this year as it was last year. She continued to impress in ways we just seen, both in the secret passages, how she saw the world and her new relationship with Alice Banks (Cara Delevingne will likely contend for a Guest Actress nomination) Considering that Gomez had already been a prominent figure among the early nominations (including quite a few from this year’s MTV Movie and TV awards), if Gomez doesn’t get a nomination this year, well, it’ll be a mystery I’m not even sure Mabel could solve.

Natasha Lyonne, Poker Face

I make no secret of how enamored I am of Natasha Lyonne in almost everything she has done the last decade.  Her presence on Poker Face basically made me subscribe to Peacock after three years of holding out. And watching her play Charlie, the ex-cocktail waitress who can always tell when your lying, has been one of those joys of the last few months.  If in the second season of Russian Doll she proved herself a worthy heir to Doctor Who, here Lyonne proves that she could be just as good as Colombo as she finds herself solving murders involving some of the most bizarre and eccentric situations in America by some of the dumbest criminals on television. I swear she’s trying to emulate Peter Falk with each new episode: she’ll probably be saying ‘One more thing’ by the finale. Throw in the fact that Lyonne was robbed last year for her work on Russian Doll and I will be thrilled to see her back on the nominees stand this year.

Jenna Ortega, Wednesday

Now I realize that some of Ortega’s comments online have made things, shall we say, awkward as the writer’s strike continues to grow. But please don’t let that get in a way of the fact that she is an absolute delight to watch as the title character on this wonderful comedy-supernatural mix. Ortega’s deadpan delivery carries on the tradition going back sixty years (Christina Ricci must be so proud to be there to see it) and every line that comes out of her is an absolute joy. Her sheer presence carries the story over some of the clear weaknesses I’ve seen in this series and considering that she went viral from one of the most memorable dance sequences in all my years of watching television, Ortega is clearly a superstar in the making. She has already received nominations from every award group leading up to the Emmys; there is no doubt she will get there in a month.

 

FOR YOUR CONSIDERATION

Linda Cardellini, Dead to Me

It has been such a genuine certainty of Applegate’s presence at the Emmys this year that for understandable reasons her wonderful co-lead has been forgotten in the awards buzz. Applegate had been nominated at the three major awards groups I mentioned; Cardellini was shut out. I get why but it’s unfair. It was heartbreaking to watch Applegate in part because we knew this was her final role; it was heartbreaking to watch Cardellini because most of her storyline was so tragic. Diagnosed with pelvic cancer in the third season premiere, facing  a death sentence she had refused to d0 anything to try and stop, watching her try to live and try to protect the woman she had come to love despite everything this year – this is the kind of work that would get Cardellini a nomination in a field that was not this crowded with so many more than qualified nominees. Considering she earned an Emmy nomination in the second season, you’d hope the Emmys reaction of carrying over previous nominations would hold, but I think it’s unlikely.  That said, I still think she deserves as much recognition as Applegate does for the final brilliant year of this show.

 

Tomorrow, I consider Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy. This will be complicated, I know.

Support the WGA!

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