Wednesday, June 25, 2025

My Predictions (And Hopes) For the 2025 Emmy Nominations, Week 2, Day 3

 

There is an out-and-out frontrunner in this category and for all intents and purposes there has been since January at least. That said there is a remote possibility the ground is shifting in recent weeks. In either case this is for the fourth consecutive year going to have the most formidable group of nominees for some of the best comedies on the air. I think there's a decent chance there will be a tie, so I'm going for six names in this list – though one of them may not be who you think.

Here we go.

 

Kristen Bell, Nobody Wants This

I said in my original review of Nobody Wants This is that the best joke on the series is that no one seems to want good things to happen to Kristen Bell. This is the opposite feeling that anybody whose grown up watching Bell (as she has in fact grown up on television) knows that she has been the biggest delight on TV in the 21st century. From her breakout role as Veronica Mars to her voiceover work on Gossip Girl to four masterful seasons on The Good Place to her hosting the SAG Awards this year there is nothing Bell can't do on TV – except win an Emmy.

Bell, like the show she is a part of, dominated the end of year award nominations for her wonderful work as Joanne, the co-host of a podcast about sex who falls in love with a hot rabbi and finds herself question everything about relationships and her faith. We watch her in a sex shop, we see her going to a Hebrew camp, we see her uncomfortable with her family, trying to win over Noah's family, doing everything in her power to be loved and as always being hysterical and adorable – and as has been the case for the last decade, filthy mouthed. (Of course on this show, her obscenities aren't adjusted.)

I would happily watch Bell read the phone book because I know she could make it fun. I would like her to win an Emmy someday but I'll settle for her being nominated.

 

Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary

Quinta Brunson has nothing left to prove. She's already made history as the first African-American to win an Emmy for both for writing and acting as well as well as the first woman. She has a shelf full of other awards for her wok on Abbott, whether they are Golden Globes, SAG Awards, WGA Awards or Image Awards. She doesn't need any more Emmy nominations but she's going to pick up another three this year anyone because she's the writer, director and star of one of the best shows on television. I don't need to say anything else in her favor… but I will.

We spent much of Season 4 watching Janine in the world of her love with Gregory which had almost no hiccups at all this year after the start of the season. We saw her try to deal with lice, illnesses, the district's nonsense, bribes, Ava being fired, trying to help Ava get her job back, being pushed off, then watching as Ava got her job back with not that much help. And of course we saw her win over the hardest case of all, Gregory's supposedly humorless father, in the season finale.

We're going to be seeing Brunson at these shows for the foreseeable future, including the inevitable day when Abbott Elementary finally wins for Best Comedy Series at the Emmys. You know why she's here; you love her, you know she's doesn't need to prove anything.

 

Ayo Edebiri, The Bear

As The Bear goes, so does Ayo Edebiri. In 2023 she was the breakout star managing to win Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy at the January 2024 Emmys. During the end of year awards Edebiri managed to win every Best Lead Actress in a Comedy in sight. Then the following September every acting category The Bear had a nominee in ending up winning at the Emmys – except Edebiri. When Jean Smart won Outstanding Actress in a Comedy, it signaled the shift that meant Hacks was going to win that year and The Bear wasn't.

It was actually going downhill ever since. The Bear's third season was the poorest received so far in its run and while some cast members managed to keep having great moments Sydney was not one of them. By this point so much of her relationship with Carmy on the show was increasingly becoming stale and the show was doing better with its other two major female characters – Tina and Sugar – then it did for her.

The dominoes have been falling ever since: for the first time she was not nominated by the Critics' Choice Awards for her performance and she lost at the Golden Globes and the SAG Awards. There is little doubt she will be nominated in this category – and just as likely for directing as well -  but her chances of winning in any form have dropped tremendously. Edebiri's moment is far from over but there's a decent chance she may not win another award for her work on The Bear again. She'll win other awards to be sure but not this.

 

 

Bridget Everett, Somebody Somewhere

This is my longshot. It would be so easy for me to put Selena Gomez here and she will very likely be here instead of her. But unlikely all the other nominees on this list, Somebody Somewhere has aired its final season and like the show, this is Everett's last chance.

Everett has been nominated by other awards shows over the years – the Critics Choice Awards, the Astras, even the TCA's but she's never gotten an Emmy nomination. At a fundamental level I understand why: her work has never been as laugh out loud hysterical as so many of the performers who do get nominated, nor as dark or probing as some of the other shows. It's quiet and wistful, a story of a Kansan trying to find her way in a town with misfits, trying to adjust after the death of a sister and the often tricky relationship she has with the living one, trying to find out if she's worthy of friendship or love. These are not life or death struggles the way every other character in comedies seems to deal with and while there are some times farcical moments, they are gentle like the show itself. But Sam, like Everett, is a force of nature who has an inferiority complex. Life is one step forward, one step back, the triumphs small in the grand scheme of things.

I'm not naïve enough to think Everett, even if she were nominated, has a snowball 's chance in hell of winning. But after watching her for three wonderful, sweet seasons, I know she's earned the chance to be there. I really want it for Sam. I want it for Everett.

 

Natasha Lyonne, Poker Face

The first real  crack in the inevitability of Jean Smart's fourth Emmy came two weeks ago at the Astras when Natasha Lyonne managed to defeat her for the second season of Poker Face. It shocked me because I didn't think anyone could be smart, not because Lyonne doesn't deserve to win.

To be clear Lyonne has already made history in 2023 when she joined such pillars as Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Allison Janney and Jean Smart herself when she was nominated for an Emmy for three series.  Lyonne was also nominated in the comedy category each time, though none of the series she's starred in – and in two cases, been a major creative force behind – have ever fit easily in the comedy category. Orange Is The New Black eventually shifting into the drama category, Russian Doll is an exercise in sci-fi as much as comedy and Poker Face is essentially a mystery anthology with Lyonne as the constant.  There's also an argument as to how much acting Lyonne is doing in each character she plays: Charlie Cale is just another Natasha Lyonne archetype. But no one cares about that because it's so much fun watching Lyonne, I mean Charlie, travel across the country ending up involved in murder mysteries with the guest star of the week, know that they're lying, gets them arrested and then leaves town.

You could argue that Charlie is as much an instrument of chaos and the cause of her own misfortune as we saw in the first season and again in the second. You could argue she's more drawn these kinds of criminals and that she should learn from her mistakes. But again, who cares because it's so much fun watching her speed through society, stumbling into bloody messes.

Lyonne, honestly, deserves to win the Emmy more than some of the other nominees including Smart herself: she has nothing to show for work. I think the odds are high that she'll come up empty this time around but I know, like Charlie, she'll come out on top eventually.

 

Jean Smart, Hacks

You would think having won three Emmys in three tries Smart would be incapable of topping herself. You'd think after winning every major award for acting at the end of the year – for the second time – we'd stop underestimating the ability Smart has with Deb Vance. Smart keeps finding ways to prove us wrong.

Finally having gotten her dreams at the end of Season 3, Deb is now on the biggest stage of all and under a bigger microscope than she's been under her entire career. And as is frequently the case Deb far too often undercuts herself. Her feud with Ava lands her the wrong kind of attention with the network. Her behavior towards her writers leads her the complaints of HR. She manages to succeed above her wildest dreams – and then when faced with a decision to make a sacrifice, choosing to give up her dream and may very well be back at the bottom again. Is it any wonder what might have happened in Asia?

Smart has been the favorite in this category even before Season 4 debuted and I think it will be very difficult for her to not repeat this year. The competition keeps getting more formidable for Smart with each year and as I've just illustrated, this is going to be her toughest field yet. But I've given up underestimating Smart's capacity to win against formidable competition. One does so at their own peril.

 

FOR YOUR CONSIDERATION

Kathryn Hahn, Agatha All Along

Let's not kid ourselves. If the geniuses at Disney Plus would have submitted Agatha for Best Limited Series I wouldn't have to write this because she'd be a lock to get a nomination there. Instead for whatever absurdity they put it in the comedy category. Hahn was able to get some nominations from the Golden Globes and the Spirit Awards and indeed quite a few other groups. But this is an incredibly crowded field of incredible talent and the odds are she'll be squeezed out, so I have to pitch for her.

And I shouldn't have too. Playing the role that won her so many awards while playing this character on Wandavision her work as she tried to make her way through a world just as bizarre as the one of that series had that same great shows mix of genres, including comedy and profundity. It's the kind of series that yet again proves that limited series is a better field for comic books than films can be. In a perfect world Hahn should be fighting it out with Cristin Milioti for Best Actress in a Limited Series.

But she's not. Instead she's in the same place that Hahn has been in so many times over the years in her work in television: always brilliant and nearly certain to be overlooked for a nomination. It might happen anyway – the last few years the Emmys have started to recognize Hahn's worth – and there's a good chance she'll be nominated in a different category. (See Outstanding Supporting Actress) But this was another notch in Hahn's formidable belt and it deserves recognition.

 

Tomorrow I move on to Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy. There's going to be a good mix of the old and the new this year.

 

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