Those of you who read my
blog know how much pleasure I get out of the Critics Choice Awards for TV; an
awards show that has a better reputation of leading among shows than following.
Much like the Golden Globes, the nominees for television have a solid mix of
the year just past and hints of the year to come.
I confess, however, after
the near emptiness of Monday’s Astra Awards I have concerns about how many
attendees will be at the Critics Choice particularly because the bigger party –
the Emmys – is the very next night. I have little doubt all the film people
will be there and that many of the major nominees for TV shows of the last six
months might be here, but how many nominees for Abbott Elementary or The
Crown might show up. I’m inclined to think many will - the TV nominees have frequently attended
relatively soon after the Golden Globes and two years ago, when the ceremonies
were scheduled for the same day, they showed up for the Critics Choice instead.
Still, I hope many of the winners are here.
In any case, here are my
predictions. I will start, as I always do, with Drama
OUTSTANDING DRAMA SERIES
It’s a given which show is
going to win here, and in fact it would be even if it hadn’t won both the
Golden Globe and Astra award earlier this week. Succession has always
done well at the Critics Choice Awards; it has taken the prize twice already
and has been fairly dominant in the acting awards. I see no reason to figure
there will be any difference here, though there may be some disagreements with
some of the acting awards.
Should Win/Will Win: Succession.
OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN
A DRAMA
Much as I’d like to see
Timothy Olyphant or Ramon Rodriguez win here I know who everyone thinks is
going to win. It is likely to be Kieran Culkin – he did prevail at the Golden
Globes on Monday. But I’m also sensing a bit of momentum for Pedro Pascal for The
Last of Us. Pascal did win at the ASTRA’s Monday basically against what
was, frankly, a more formidable group of nominees. Also Culkin has won for Succession
before and there haven’t been a huge number of winners for the same series
over the last fourteen years, certainly not in different categories for the
same show.
Ultimately I think Culkin
will prevail, but don’t be surprised if Pascal manages to win.
Should Win: Rodriguez.
Will Win: Pascal/Culkin.
OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS
IN A DRAMA
I’ll admit I’d like to
Aunjanue Ellis prevail for her work as the cool-on-her-heels defense attorney
in Justified: City Primeval. But I think it will come down to one of the
two winners in the last few nights: Sarah Snook for Succession or Keri
Russell for The Diplomat.
Snook took the Best
Actress prize at the Golden Globes and won for Broadcast or Cable at the
Astras. Russell prevailed in Best Actress in streaming and the Broadcast
Critics may feel they owe her for never giving her a prize for The Americans
even though the show itself won three times. Also Snook has won before and
might face the possibility of the Critics wanting to share the wealth. I think
Snook has enough momentum to carry her, but don’t rule out an upset by Russell.
Should Win: Russell.
Will Win: Snook.
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING
ACTOR IN A DRAMA
This is easy. Matthew
MacFayden has already taken Best Supporting Actor in a Drama from the Golden
Globes and the Astra’s and in both those cases, there were other nominees from Succession
who could have been syphoning off votes. Here he is the sole nominee in the
category. Throw in the fact he is one of the only actors in the cast who has
never won a prize and there’s no question
he wins.
Should Win/Will Win:
MacFayden.
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING
ACTRESS IN A DRAMA
I’ll admit I want to see
Christina Ricci win in this category, but in truth this is an easier pick than
MacFayden. Elizabeth Debicki has already won the Golden Globe for Best
Supporting Actress in a Drama and she shared in the Supporting Actress in a Streaming
Drama on Monday at the astra. In the former case, she won for Season 6 of The
Crown; in the latter for Season Five. I assume she’s been nominated for the
final season, and I’m relatively certain that she’ll win easily here too. Don’t
worry Christina, you’ll be back.
Should Win: Ricci.
Will Win: Debicki.
Tomorrow I move on to
Comedy, and there may be some differences from the last week of awards.
Addendum: I will get to
the SAG nominations at the end of the week. But you’ll permit this.
(Ahem)
YES! THEY NOMINATED THE
GILDED AGE FOR BEST ENSEMBLE! THE SHOW HAS FINALLY REACHED AWARDS RECOGNITION!
I TAKE BACK AT LEAST SIXTY PERCENT OF ALL THE SHIT-TALKING I DID ABOUT SAG-AFTRA DURING THE STRIKE!
Forgive me for getting
emotional. It’s just nice to know that sometimes awards show agree with you at
them. Don’t worry, Critics Choice you’re still my favorite.
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