I didn't expect to do as well
with this list then I thought in my original set of predictions. Most of the errors
I made were based on overestimation in some categories but I did better than I
thought. The few surprises in this category were pleasant ones.
I was somewhat surprised – but not
that surprised – that there were no nominees from the TV movie category. These
days its become pretty much impossible to break in no matter how much
recognition you get from other award shows as we saw with The Caine Mutiny
Court Martial last year. Still I figured Aaron Pierre from Rebel Ridge and
Renee Zellweger had a good chance anyway. Oh well, it's not like I invest that
much in it.
Here are my reactions.
OUTSTANDING LIMITED SERIES
I predicted that Monsters, The
Penguin and Dying for Sex would be those included and while I'm
still not thrilled Adolescence is as well.
In hindsight I'm shocked its
taken this long for the Emmys to acknowledge, yes Black Mirror is an
anthology series and not a group of TV movies. I will confess I'm surprised Disclaimer,
which dominated so many of the end of year awards shows did so poorly with
the Emmys. In hindsight it's shutout by the Astras was a portent of things to
come. There were benefits to that – as you'll see below.
OUTSTANING LEAD ACTOR IN A
LIMITED SERIES
It didn't take a genius to say
that Colin Farrell, Stephen Graham and Cooper Koch were all going to be
nominated. I have to say I wasn't entirely sure that Jake Gyllenhaal would be
here for Presumed Innocent. He didn't rank that high in most Emmy
prediction sites I saw. I really thought Kevin Kline or Aaron Pierre would get
in ahead of him.
Bryan Tyree Henry's presence for Dope
Thief in hindsight isn't much of a shock. He received a lot of nominations
in the last few months and a special prize from the Gotham TV Awards. I suppose
that will serve as consolation for when he inevitably loses to Farrell.
OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A
LIMITED SERIES
As I predicted Cate Blanchett is
here for Disclaimer as are Cristin Miloti for The Penguin and Michelle
Williams for Dying for Sex. As for the other two nominees, I think it's
safe to say no one saw them coming.
I think everyone thought that if Black
Mirror was going to have a nominee here it would be for Cristin Miloti but
it ended up being for Rashida Jones, who frankly is well past deserving
recognition from the Emmys. No one thought Meghann Fahy was going to be here
for Sirens. This is as big a shock as Uzo Aduba is being nominated for The
Residence. As someone who has immense respect for both actresses and think
they deserve all the nominations they can get I endorse both. (Fahy was just as
good this year in The Perfect Couple.)
I'm not surprise Shailene Woodley
(or indeed Three Women) was completely shut out. And honestly not that
shocked Ari Gaynor was ignored for Monsters. But honestly it's not a bad
group.
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A
LIMITED SERIES
Not in my wildest dreams did I
think Bill Camp would be nominated for his work in Presumed Innocent. It
was a great performance no question but I figured if there was going to be a
nominee from this show it would be Peter Sarsgaard – and it turns out the Emmys
did have room for both. Good for them.
My major problem was I
overestimated the nominees: I thought seven would be in this category, it ended
up being six. I accurately predicted Owen Cooper and Ashley Walters for Adolescence,
Javier Bardem for Monsters and Rob Delaney for Dying For Sex. So
no complaints.
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN
A LIMITED SERIES
This is where I suppose I should
take a bow. My selection as the FYC in this category was Chloe Sevigny for Monsters
and lo and behold, the Emmys nominated her. I honestly thought she wouldn't
make the cut – and that was when I predicted seven nominees instead of the six
we got.
I was right in predicting Erin
Doherty for Adolescence, Jenny Slate for Dying for Sex and Diedre
O'Connell for The Penguin. I'll be honest I wasn't entirely sure Ruth
Negga would make it for Presumed Innocent; I did think it would take
seven nominees for her to be included.
I will confess I wasn't wild
about Christine Tremarco's nomination for Adolescence. I really would
have preferred Betty Gilpin being chosen for Three Women over her. Betty,
you've got to stop working with Starz if you want a nomination.
OUTSTANDING WRITING FOR A LIMITED
SERIES
Pretty much what you'd think. The
Penguin, Dying for Sex and Adolescence are all present as is Black
Mirror. Say Nothing did get a nod here – it's only nomination.
OUTSTANDING DIRECTION FOR A
LIMITED SERIES ANTHOLOGY
Again Adolescence and Dying
for Sex is here and The Penguin is here twice. Interestingly four of
the six nominees in this category are women, including Nicole Kassell for Sirens.
(I may end up getting to this show after the Emmys are over.) Veteran Lesli
Linka Glatter is here for Zero Day the only nomination of consequence
this show got.
OUTSTANDING TV MOVIE…as Bill Murray would say, who
cares?
But seriously there are few
surprises. The Gorge, Rebel Ridge, Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy and
the usual HBO entry Mountainhead. I don't know if they'll give the award
on the main ceremony or in the creative arts section.
OVERALL REACTION
Honestly I didn't think Presumed
Innocent would get as many nominations that mattered from the Emmys this
year. I've seen almost every major nominated series and actor and I'm genuine
impressed with all of them, even if I'm not overjoyed by the recognition Adolescence
got. My guess is that The Penguin will win the most overall awards
but Adolescence will win the ones that count – though again I hope I'm
wrong.
I don't really care that much
about reality shows though I would love to see Alan Cumming win as many prizes
as possible for The Traitors, in large part because he never got recognition
for The Good Wife. I do care if Jeopardy and Ken Jennings win for Outstanding
Game show and Host because well, you know.
For once I'm at a loss as to how
few issues I have with the nominations this year. As the summer continues I
will weigh in on more than a few of the contenders I haven't gotten to yet but was
planning to. By the middle of August I will start weighing in with my predictions.
Stay tuned, true believers.
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