Wednesday, July 2, 2025

My Predictions (And Hopes) For the 2025 Emmy Nominations, Week 3, Day 3

 

 

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES/TV MOVIE

Every so often I break my rule and include a performer from a TV movie on my list. There are several possible other contenders for Best Limited Series who have been nominated in other shows but in this case I'm going with a probable and personal favorite from a TV movie. That doesn't mean I'll follow the rules the rest of the way.

Let's get back to it.

 

Cate Blanchett, Disclaimer

There are rumors that Blanchett is considering retirement. That's somewhat shocking considering she's only recently turned 56 and is still getting the kind of roles in film that most actresses her age stopped getting a decade ago. But then again, according to imdb.com she's already won 218 awards in a career spanning a quarter of a century. Maybe she's running out of houses to put her prizes on.

On a more serious note Blanchett was one of the few performers in a limited series from 2024 who made the junket of end of year awards, nominated for a Golden Globe, a Critics Choice Award and a SAG Award for playing Catherine in Disclaimer. She lost all three times but it seems very likely that, as with Brie Larson for Lessons in Chemistry last year, she will be most likely to be considered for an Emmy nomination down the road. At this point the Emmy is one of the few awards left she hasn't won although she was nominated five years earlier for her remarkable work as Phyllis Schlafly in Mrs. America. She lost to Regina King in what was the right decision and it's telling that it's difficult to see the similarities between Catherine and the arch conservative in this very different show. Of course Blanchett doesn't need any more prizes but she'll definitely get nominated for yet another nuanced, subtle performance in her repertoire. And there's a good chance she'll lose to another lead actress in another adaptation of a DC comic. (See below.)

 

Ari Gaynor,  Monsters

I will confess I was puzzled when Ari Gaynor chose to submit herself for consideration in the Outstanding Lead Actress instead of Supporting where it seemed more likely she would receive a nomination if not win. I had no problem with her performance being eligible for awards.

Gaynor's work as Leslie Grossman, the attorney who ends up taking on Erik and Lyle's case and who absolutely believes in them is one of the more brilliant character studies. She has a reputation already of being the kind of defense attorney hated because of her clients and for being a woman in the profession and this just adds more to it. When she learns the story of the brothers – particularly Erik's – she becomes absolutely certain they don't belong in jail. That she remains devoted to that even as we learn more about the lies they may have told says more about her state of mind then anything else. By the time we reach the final episode she seems to be the only person left on the planet who is convinced these people don't deserve the punishment they're getting and we're left with an unanswered question: why does she have such faith in these brothers when the viewer no longer does?

Gaynor has been working in television for a long time in many superb comedies and never received recognition. Of my five choices in this category she's the one who has the most chance of being excluded but I think she's as worthy as any other alternative. She convinced me and I think she can convince the Academy.

 

Cristin Milioti, The Penguin

She finally played the title character in How I Met Your Mother. She'd played a sickly mother in the second season of Fargo. She's been in more than a few dark comedies. But it's safe to say none of that prepared the world for her work as Sofia Falcone.

It takes a lot to steal a TV series from Colin Farrell and while Milioti didn't quite do that her work as Sofia made Milioti one of the breakout sensations of 2024. We've seen a lot of complicated women in the last decade, some of them on HBO dramas but we've never seen someone like Sofia: a woman who became what she was accused of being after being framed by her father in the past, went mad in an asylum and finally tried to realize who she was her father's daughter after all. Of all the characters in the world of Batman she is the most tragic because she realized the deep poison of the city and the only way to escape it's evil – and was brought low by the machinations of a villain who consigned her to a fate infinitely worse then death.

Milioti has already won both the Critics Choice Awards and the Astra Award in this category so far this year. She's not the out-and-out certainty that her co-star Farrell but she's definitely the front-runner. And few who saw her work can argue that it wasn't a master class.

 

Michelle Williams, Dying for Sex

Williams has been one of our greatest actresses in film and television almost her entire career. It might be a bit of a stretch to say she's never given quite a performance like the one in Dying for Sex but how many television shows have a woman dying of cancer who decide to spend their last days going on a quest for an orgasm in them – and you know, been incredibly funny to boot?

Ironically it is that last part that might be the biggest obstacle in Williams prevailing over some of the other contenders: historically Emmy voters like their winners in limited series to deal with incredibly dark, melancholy material. Admittedly that may be changing given the success of The White Lotus (when it was a limited series and more of a comedy) and the triumph of Baby Reindeer which was as much a black comedy as it was a harsh drama. That said Williams work as Molly in Dying is basically a comedy, watching her mind raise through so many scenarios involving sex after her diagnosis, decide to meet up with strangers on Tinder, masturbating online and getting caught with ransomware, so many bizarre sexual encounters then when she starts being a dominatrix with her next door neighbor it almost seems normal, a sexual encounter where she kicks him in the genitals and she has to go to the hospital, her last sexual encounter being delayed by a very dedicated nurse. Even her last days are said with images of penises with wings. It's a very dark emotional performance but I did laugh hysterically at much of it, even the sad parts.

To be clear when it comes to an Emmy in a limited series, dying and getting one is easy. Getting one for comedy is hard. But if anyone can do it it's Michelle Williams and it would be fun to hear this particular acceptance speech.

 

Renee Zellweger, Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy

Renee Zellweger is one of the most awarded actresses of the 21st century? Is it wrong that having won 2 Oscars, four Golden Globes and three SAG Awards she is still most famous for the one character she hasn't won a major award for? Not if you love Bridget Jones and, like millions of people across the globe, I always have.  Perhaps there's something wrong that I found value in all three Bridget Jones film but I've always been a bit quirky myself.

On a historical level I think it would be fitting if Zellweger were to make history by becoming the first actress to receive an Emmy and Oscar nomination for playing the same character. (Maybe she'd be the first performer of any kind to do so; I haven't enough knowledge on the subject.) I'd also think it was fitting because I advocated for Zellweger being recognized for her superb work in The Thing About Pam three years ago and the Emmys in their wisdom chose to ignore both her and the series. I'd also think it would be fitting because so many of Zellweger's co-stars not just in Bridget Jones but other movies she's been recognized in having gotten more than their share of love from the Emmys in terms of nominations: I speak not just of Hugh Grant and Colin Firth but Nicole Kidman. And of course I think she should be nominated because I love unconditionally almost everything Zellweger does.

 

FOR YOUR CONSIDERATION

Shailene Woodley, Three Women

I went back and forth between whether offering Woodley's name or Annaleigh Ashford for her equally incredible performance in the equally likely to be ignored by the Emmys Happy Face. It was a tough call between two actresses I've considered the most unrecognized for their work in television over the last decade. Woodley's Gia made the list for a simple reason: her character was the more fascinating of the two.

Watching Gia traversing America trying to realize her goal when it came to her book was just as riveting as watching the work of any of the three women she was covering. Watching her interactions with all of them, the way she dealt with a messy affair that led to a pregnancy, the way she dealt with the possibility of a fatal illness and the way the show resolved all of the stories of the women she watched but critically not her own, gave Woodley the chance to yet against demonstrate why she is one of the best actresses of our time, the equal of her peers going back to Big Little Lies and The Descendants. I think she deserves all the recognition she gets.

 

Tomorrow I will deal with Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited Series/TV Movie. This time, I'm back to Limited Series.

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