Monday, June 15, 2026

My Predictions (And Hopes) For the 2026 Emmy Nominations, Week 1, Part 1: Outstanding Comedy Series

 

 

It has all led up to this as it always does. We are less then one month away from the Emmy nominations for the 2025-2026 seasons.

Most of the awards shows at the end of the year were very unhelpful, mostly giving the lion's share of the awards in comedy, drama and limited series to The Studio, The Pitt and Adolescence respectively.  Only The Pitt will be a major contender for drama due to its extraordinary second season. The Studio is still working on Season 2 and for the first time in the entire decade the race for Limited Series in nearly every category is completely wide open.

Because comedy will likely have more familiar faces as well as a fascinating bunch of newcomers I've decided to break my pattern and start with it this year. It helps immensely that for once I'm on top of the majority of contenders for a change and the ones I'm not on top of yet I'll be watching soon enough.

So strap in awards shows fans.

 

OUTSTANDING COMEDY SERIES

Two things before we begin. The first is a detail I usually neglect in these predictions. I'm going to list prior to each category the number of nominees that will be picked in each category according to the rules. For Best Comedy its eight,

The second thing will be more controversial. I've decided to almost completely omit the fourth season of The Bear from consideration in these nomination. This doesn't have much to do with whether I consider a comedy or not. It's the fact that nearly every awards show in the last year has either ignored Season 4 of The Bear in consideration (Critics Choice Awards, The Astras, TCA) or has given just token nominations compared to previous years (SAG-AFTRA only nominated it for ensemble cast). Throw in the fact that last year The Bear was more or less skunked by the Emmys in terms of wins there's a very good chance its moment in the sun is over. It may contend, but if it does it will be more due to the institutional laziness that I've sadly become used to from the Emmys for much of my adult life.  So far this decade the Academy's mostly been past it – they did honor Reservation Dogs and Somebody Somewhere for their final seasons with nominations and awards something they'd never have done even five years ago – but you never know. I won't advocate for it here, especially when there are so many programs eligible that are genuinely funny.

With that said, here we go.

 

Abbott Elementary (ABC)

Always a bridesmaid, never a bride. Going into its fifth spectacular season the show that almost singlehandedly revived the network comedy shows absolutely no sign of flagging. If anything it keeps finding new and hysterical ways to make us love it.

We spent much of the winter break for Abbott Elementary with the teachers and the students trying to deal with educating in a mall, something the district tried to use to their advantage to attack our poor teachers. We saw Mr. Johnson finally find love with a fellow janitor after wondering why women couldn't know their place as astronauts or diplomats. We saw the teachers readjust to teaching new classes in wonderful ways such as Melissa being moved up to dealing with seventh graders and learning that they knew some tricks about scheming. And we saw some upward mobility for Jacob as he finally managed to take his meddling to new levels – and he might actually be able to do some good.

The personal was just as fun. We saw Ava finally find a relationship with a working class man that was good for her and she finally accepted that she could find happiness with a man with a good heart. We saw Melissa manage to find romance with a fireman even though he decided to be a chief. And we saw Gregory and Janine go through the ups and downs of their relationship including the horrible moment when they broke up after their first fight. We were devastated, though not nearly as devastated as Jacob was. Fortunately with the help of Barbra and Mr. Johnson they managed to work through their issues in a few episodes – and wedding bells may soon be in the air.

All this and the show keeps providing the small joys in life you didn't know you needed every season. I didn't know I needed to see the teachers and students doing the Macarena in the halls of Abbott until I saw and now I can't imagine my life without it.

 

Elsbeth (CBS)

After two years of getting nowhere with Emmy nominations when they classified it as a drama Robert and Michelle King have decided to try to work with Elsbeth as a comedy. This has paid some dividends: both the Critics Choice Awards and the Astras nominated the show as a comedy this past year. And let's not kid ourselves Elsbeth has always been a more charming version of Charlie Cale during its run and the Emmys were more than willing to recognize Poker Face in these categories.

Part of the reason it helps is that Carrie Preston has spent two seasons making Elsbeth Tascioni just so darn lovable. This is something that served her in good stead when she stealing everything nailed down on The Good Wife but now we see that she has a heart of pure gold. There's a part of her that really wants to believe the best in people and you get the feeling every time she ends up taking apart the lies and falsehoods of the wealthy murderers in New York City on a weekly basis, she's genuinely disappointed because there's a part of her that even likes her enemies. And the show leans into it by having so many of the criminals she takes down each year liking her even as she sends them to prison.

As is always the case with a King Size production the world of Elsbeth began to widen. Elsbeth spent must of the season dating a candidate for Mayor who she ignored the fact of all the lies in his story but let her good-natured behavior blind her from it. Eventually she forced him to tell the truth and at a cost: she chose the truth over romance. We've also seen the world of television, always a fun part of the King's world expand, as we see her looking at a network TV show who's lead she exposed as a killer last season but is still on the air with a new cast member.

And this is a show with so many wonderful guest actors: from Stephen Colbert and Andy Richter to Jaime Pressley and Tony Hale to Anna Camp and Patti LuPone all of them playing wonderful, tweaked versions of themselves. Perhaps a group of guest acting nominations will be in store.

How realistic a chance does Elsbeth really have of nominations? Not very good. But like the title character I want to believe the best in the system even if I'm disappointed. So come on Emmy voters, be nice.

 

Hacks (HBO Max)

Every season it has been on the air Hacks always wins at least one Emmy. Jean Smart has won every year it's been nominated; the show has won for writing twice and most wonderfully it managed one of the biggest upsets in recent Emmy history when it beat The Bear for its third season.

But all good things must come to an end and the team decided that the fifth season would be the last one. It was assumed, even before the fifth season was released, that Hacks would be the frontrunner to win in this category. And unlike so many series that have come to an end in the past year (think Euphoria and Stranger Things) Hacks completely stuck the landing.

Admittedly that's easier to do for a comedy where the stakes are lower but the best thing about the final season is that Lucia Aniello and Jen Statsky knew that the most important thing was about the relationship between the characters more than the success they managed. So after putting Deb at rock bottom after losing it all, they decided to have one last realistic goal: Deb was going to sell out Madison Square Garden and everything was built to that.

Because of this Hacks could spend its final season on character bits which were always its strong suit. We saw Jimmy and Kayla trying to find a way to keep their fledgling agency afloat and then when things fell apart they found a way to rebuild. Ava and Deb's fights and feuds were over so they could spend the season building their sisterly bond while still messing things up. Ava being more ashamed of a potential boyfriend being a magician then a sex worker is a highlight. And as always with Hacks the guest star parts were incredible throughout with a string of nominations for every category. If Kaitlin Olson doesn't finally win an Emmy for her work on Hacks Deb Vance should engage in litigation.

I will miss Hacks now that it is gone but as the other nominees in this category prove there are more than a few eligible candidates to join it among the classic comedy legend. The Emmys for the final season will be sequins on an overly bedazzled Vegan wardrobe but Deb and the show have earned it.

 

Margo's Got Money Troubles (Apple TV)

Here's a question I didn't know I needed asked: What if David E. Kelley decided to stop writing adaptations of mysteries and return to his roots as one of the most frank writers of sex and deal with every bit of quirkiness he hasn't had a chance to use since Harry's Law was cancelled in 2012? Well, the answer you get one of the funniest and most sublime comedies on any service and one of the best shows of the year.

Technically Margo is an adaptation of a best seller but given the storyline and characters I really do believe all of the elements of plot, character and theme were from a 2008 pilot that ABC never picked up. Margo takes a creative writing class, has sex with her professor and gets pregnant. This leads to her single mother (Michelle Pfeiffer) being concerned because she's getting engaged to a very religious man at a choir she sings at. Her father, a professional wrestler, gets back into her life after two decades of absence. And in order to make money she starts doing work on Only Fans, ostensibly as sex work but more or less using her writing skills to create wrestling themes art. This works fine until she is outed which leads to the overbearing mother of her baby daddy suing for custody of her child, leading to an ex-wrestler who has a law degree defending her in court. (The ex-wrestler is Nicole Kidman, because of course.)

These are things that anyone who grew up watching Picket Fences and Ally McBeal at one point had on their David E. Kelley bingo card. You throw in the excessive use of 1980s music and the decision to insult penises as if they were Pokémon and it's hard to believe Kelley didn't have some version of this in his back pocket for years. What makes it all the more worth it is how sublimely funny this. Kelley's work adapting bestsellers during the last decade has been incredible but this is the first time you can see him throwing caution to the win and deciding just to have fun. It's picked up by his entire cast and it’s a whirlwind of pure joy from start to finish.

All of the shows I've listed are good comedies but Margo is just unpretentious fun and done extremely well. I'm glad its been renewed for a second season. I want to see how much trouble Margo keeps getting into.

 

Nobody Wants This (Netflix)

When we left Joanne and Noah it seemed that happy days were finally here for our favorite Hot Rabbi and Shiksa. Of course it's never that easy.

Noah was forced to learn his career goals no longer aligned with his personal ones and had to leave the temple. Joanne had to deal with this baggage as well as how this was going to weigh down their relationship. Sascha's marriage is somewhat in trouble because he became friends with Morgan and hid it from his wife which annoyed her. Morgan has been dealing with her own issues – including that she's now dating her therapist and much of the season is spent towards their impending nuptials which no one thinks is a good idea – not even Morgan. And Bina is determined to destroy everything in her wake for the good of the family, regardless of what her family thinks is good for her.

Nobody Wants This did very well in the early awards circles, particularly the Golden Globes and the Critics Choice Awards in terms of nominations. It has fallen slightly behind in odds as newer, shinier comedies such as Rooster and Widow's Bay have been demonstrating their glory. But I think it'll hold its own against the contenders.

Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)

At this point the only question we still have to answer is why anybody still lives in the Arconia? As we saw in Season Five, even the podcasters may be relocating soon. But that doesn't mean it's not still fun.

The season began with Lester, the doorman who was a recurring character for four seasons being killed – and having it rated as an accidental death. Then we found a finger in Lester's wedding shrimp and we spent much of the season finding out who the finger belonged to. Then we learned there was a secret casino under the Arconia that once was run by the mob but now is run by the one percent (specifically Logan Lerman, Christophe Waltz and Renee Zellweger) and that they might be willing to kill to turn the Arconia into a casino. Then the doorman was replaced with a robot where Howard Morris has clearly so infatuated with it really seems like he's sexually attracted to it.

All of this is spent with the usual array of personal growth that are podcasters keep having. Oliver (the wonderful Martin Short) is now happily married to Loretta and is considering relocating for a fresh start with his young bride. (Only flaw of Season Five. Not enough of promising newcomer Meryl Streep.) Charles is taking testosterone, getting involved with the wives of suspects, and is unable to use dating apps properly all of which impede the investigation. Mabel thinks her life is improving then one of her closest childhood friends the pop-singer 'The' (Beanie Feldstein) moves into the penthouse above her and she starts having inferiority complex.  And we constantly learn more about the hotel and the lives of our characters, this time learning the haunting backstory of Oliver and why he is who he is.

It's disappointing but not surprising Only Murders has done so poorly in the Emmys overall. I mean look what its up against. But the show keeps finding ways to keep the formula fresh, the comedy laced with poignancy and with a typical New York sensibility. Maybe this year it'll finally win an Emmy or two. Hey, you never know.

 

Scrubs (ABC)

I know that the other Bill Lawrence comedy show I should be pushing for is Rooster which is almost certainly more likely to be here. But come on. Even before I was predicting the Emmys, even before I was getting my articles published online, I was always pushing for Scrubs. And now the reboot has finally worked in my favor.

I know revivals are supposed to be comfort food in an unpredictable world but part of the reason Scrubs may never have been a popular or awards heavy hit was that the show never took the easy way out. Set in Sacred Heart this was always one of the darkest comedies of the 2000s and while it makes it clear that the three leads have grown older, they haven't grown up.

This made it clear from the first episode of the reboot when we learned that Eliot and JD's marriage ended in divorce. Turk and Carla are still chugging along but Carla is dealing with menopause. Dr. Cox's rough treatment of interns was too much for the new breed and JD came in to take over, even though he has to deal with an HR that never existed. And Cox eventually came in with a diagnosis of a disease that mind end up killing him. All of this is set among a world that is no kinder to medical staff then it was twenty years and if anything is even more unforgiving.

And yet despite this – maybe even because of it – Scrubs remains as much a joy in its new version then it did twenty years ago. There's something sublime about seeing so many characters still dealing with a broken system and not being broken by it, something about them still trying to prevail despite the blows.  And considering how much audiences responded to The Pitt, its small wonder they returned to this one. JD and his colleagues may not be superman but they're still the characters we need.

 

Shrinking (Apple TV)

A lot has been changing for Jimmy and his friends. For one Jimmy is facing Alice going to college and empty nest syndrome. Brian and Charlie are waiting for their surrogate to deliver. Liz and Derek are facing health issues. Paul is dealing with a health setback. Nothing is good.

But sometimes there are improvements. Jimmy is finally beginning to heal and is willing to go on his first date. There are weddings and other joys to go with the grief. We meet new faces and learn how much of this deals with the parents and the ones we love. We finally meet Jimmy's father and Paul ex-wife. And a cast filled with brilliant professionals just keeps adding to it: such talents as Michael J. Fox, Candice Bergen and Jeff Daniels are now visiting.

Bill Lawrence is, as they say, having a moment. This will be the fifth consecutive year that one or more shows he has been behind has been nominated for Best Comedy. It couldn't happen to a nicer guy and a greater group of actors.

 

FOR YOUR CONSIDERATION

St. Denis Medical

Since both the medical drama and the workplace comedy have now been successfully revived, why not have the Emmys recognize a series that pulls both together in such a spectacular fashion? With an ensemble that rivals any of the ones on this list, particularly the spectacular David Alan Grier, the title hospital continued to become more joyful even as it struggled to find its footing? Joyce attempted to create the premier birthing center in the Northwest and simultaneously become more popular with the staff?. (Not possible) Ron spent the year trying to maintain his grumpiness but loosening up – we finally met his son and we saw the two of them clumsily but successfully rebuilding their bond. Serena and Matt, who connected briefly last season spent all year going through the will they, won't they and finally decided on Will. And in the finale everyone got together for Ron on a surgery – and we learned of a crush so shocking it surprised even us.  There are other shows – even on NBC – that might have more of a chance of a nomination in this category but few that I think deserve it more. That's my diagnosis.

 

Tomorrow I deal with Outstanding Lead Actor in A Comedy. This will break some hearts, mine included.

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