Friday, June 26, 2026

My Predictions (And Hopes) For the 2026 Emmys, Week 2 Concluded: Outstanding Supporting Actress in A Drama

 

Same situation as with Supporting Actor: five of last year's nominees are ineligible and the two that remain almost certainly deserve to be here. As with the previous category I'm limiting my choices from The Pitt to two nominees even though I will be fine if more actresses from the cast are nomination.

Some of the nominees I have are from last year and I think the odds are better for at least one of them. So without further ado, here are my seven choices this year.

 

Taylor Dearden, The Pitt

I could just as easily have chosen Isa Briones, Fiona Dourif or any of last year's brilliant members of the staff from Season One to be among the nominees. And again I'll be fine if they're here. But I'm going with Taylor Dearden as Mel because perhaps more than any of the interns we met in the first season she represents the most complex changes.

Mel spends much of the shift worried about a deposition about a case from last season we remember and she spends most of the first half not getting support from anyone, certainly not Robby. After the deposition her sister ends up in the ER with a sexually transmitted disease and she's stunned, comically, that she's not only sexual active but has in many ways a better personal life then Mel does. She's the most understanding to Langdon when he returns and its clear there's still a bond – and who can forget the post-credits scene of the series when we see her singing karaoke with her frenemy for two years?

In addition Dearden happens to be the daughter of five time Emmy winner Bryan Cranston and she's clearly as gifted at mixing drama and comedy as her father is. And considering the father won another Emmy last year, why not have him be able to escort his daughter as a nominee in her own right?

Alison Janney, The Diplomat

Allison Janney was the biggest victim of the deluge of support for The White Lotus last year.  To that point she'd been nominated for a Critics Choice Award and a SAG-AFTRA award for her work as the embattled Vice President on The Diplomat – quite an impression for an actress who only appeared in two episodes last season.

Now as her character ascends to the Presidency we find her taking center stage against Kate who knows her secret and who says she'll protect it – despite what she said before the President died. Much of the third season was about a chess match between Grace and Kate as well as their respective husbands. When the season ended and a far worse secret was unfolded we now faced a scenario no one could expect.

Janney, of course, has already gotten more then her share of wins from the Emmys already and indeed she could end up managing a trifecta for her work in Palm Royale as well as in the TV Movie/Limited Series (I'll get to that eventually). So Janney doesn't need another nomination or Emmy but honestly, come on: wouldn't there be synchronicity in the actress who played CJ Cregg for seven years get a nomination for finally becoming the President?

 

Katherine LaNasa, The Pitt

It was a shock to everyone – including LaNasa – when she won in this category last year for her incredible work as charge nurse Dana Evans. And honestly after season one ended no one was sure we'd be seeing her back for Season 2.

Indeed Dana has returned but she's not handling her trauma any better than Robby is. She's punchier, with less patience for everyone then before, is less of a mama bear then a grizzly to the majority of the nurses and interns, seems less willing to take crap then she did in Season 1 (and she didn't take much then). Its clear she's angrier then before, basically at everybody and by the time the shift ends she shows in a fashion far more horrific then anything that Robby has done directly so far that leads to a knock-down drag out argument between the two in which both of them make it clear that they can't see the mote in their own eyes but are perfectly fine with the ones in everybody else. Still, by the end of the season its clear Dana's in a better place then Robby is – though that's not saying much.

LaNasa has slightly less of a chance of repeating in this category then Wyle does: she will doubtless be splitting votes with her co-stars on this show much the same way there was a similar split in The White Lotus last year. (Just because I'm only nominating two actress doesn't mean there won't be more.) Still no one can deny her power and that force and she will be in this category for years to come – assuming she survives each season.

 

Skye P. Marshall, Matlock

I'm pretty convinced the surplus of nominations that eliminated Janney as a nominee last year had an effect on Marshall's chances as well. She'd also been nominated for a Critics Choice Award and had been nominated for the Gotham TV Award in this category last year as well.  And let's not kid ourselves: Marshall's work as Olivia was the real story of Matlock.

It takes a great actress to hold the stage with one of the greatest actresses of all time. And yet in every scene they share Marshall makes it clear Olivia is as much a powerhouse as Bates's Madeline. This was even more true in Season 2 then Season 1 as the two former friends spent the first half of the season as reluctant allies, each maneuvering against each other, and as Olivia slowly revealed how badly the manipulations of Maddie had left emotional scars on her. Considering Olivia has always been a pawn in the manipulations of Senior and had no role in the conspiracy Maddie was investigating, the scars that she felt were genuine and her anger just as real as Madeline's.

Much of the pleasure of Season 2 was watching these two find a way to rebuild their friendship and find a way back to each other. (This is as much a love story for a drama today as that of Deb and Ava in Hacks.) As the conspiracy unfolded it became clear that Olivia wanted Maddie to be happy as much as she wanted to bring the law firm down and it was so much fun to see them get drunk in the season finale. And that the new series will deal with the two of them going forward together against the world is as much a joyful experience as anything I saw on TV last year.

Marshall may be more of an underdog in Season 2 then last year, as I said there a lot of good candidates. But I'd like to see her nominated among these incredible talents.

 

Julianne Nicholson, Paradise

It gave me immense pleasure to see Nicholson nominated for her work as Sinatra in Paradise last year and even more that she would be nominated – and win! – for her work as Dance Mom in Season 4 of Hacks. Nicholson has always been one of the most undervalued actresses in TV during the 21st century but in this past decade the Emmys finally seemed to have realized what a force she is: I was overjoyed when she won for Mare of Easttown in 2021.

Her work as the hidden hand behind the bunker in Season 1 was an incredible performance: in large part because throughout you knew that Sinatra never really considered herself a villain. (It was a shock to learn that she had nothing to do with the murder of Cal Bradford.) But she proved that she could be just as ruthless as any man to protect what was hers – and while she managed to survive, she ended up being the victim of someone darker then her.

Throughout Season 2 Sinatra realizes that she no longer has control of events, that forces within the bunker are mounted against her on all sides and a force from without is coming. She spends much of the season arguing with herself – in the form of Cal – trying to make it clear she has a secret to play that might be a trump card. In the season finale as everything she's built has been destroyed she makes one last play for redemption before she chooses to sacrifice herself – and that will change the game for the final season.

Nicholson is near certain to repeat for this category though her chances for yet another Emmy remain remote. Perhaps there will be another chance in the final season. (Yes I know I said she's dead; do you really think we've seen the last of her?)

 

Cynthia Nixon, The Gilded Age

If Christine Baranski were competing in this category I'd be advocating for her. Since she isn't I'm going to give a chance for her sister to get recognition – which would be fitting consider not only who Ada is but the role she plays in Season 3.

For the first two seasons it was understandable that Nixon's work as Ada would be overlooked among the more obvious brilliance of Baranski and Coon. It's in large part to Nixon as a whole: Ada is a frail woman, always in the shadow of others, who only found love late in life and then had it taken away in a tragic fashion almost immediately. At the end of the season she found herself now in a position of wealth and power, so the question was how would she handle it?

The answer was, awkwardly. Nixon's made it clear that Ada was still carrying the trauma of losing someone she loved briefly but deeply and had no idea what to do with the wealth she'd been given or how to express it. The scene where she confessed that she was the head of a house that was falling apart was a standout as was the one where she shared just how badly she was broken and lost after everything. One could forgive for being manipulated by a spiritualist and one cheered as she found a way forward by choosing to support women's suffrage. When her sister let her take the head of the table for the first time, it was a triumph and moment of growth for both women, one I could cheer for.

Nixon is yet another actor whose politics and proselytizing I find repellent but whose work always has overshadowed it and that is very much the case for her work as Ada on one of my favorite shows.  I never have hate watched The Gilded Age and I love her work on this series. I hope, like in Season 3, Nixon gets a chance to shine.

 

Karolina Wydra, Pluribus

To say Karolina Wydra has a difficult job on Plur1bus is an understatement. She has to play Zosia, the representative of the hive mind to Carol Sturka, which means she's not so much an individual but someone whose pretending to be. She's only allowed one note in her performance, to be pleasant, cheerful and warm, even when she's telling Carol she killed over a million people with her anger. She has to do things that are ridiculous by standards, including taking a life grenade to Carol when she asks for it and throwing it out after Carol pulls out the pin – while saying "Sorry."  She has to be the representation of the fictional character that was the inspiration for Carol's best-selling novels, who happens to be a man in them. Then she has to find a way to convince Carol she's on her side, seem to fall in love with her, and seem to be a good person. She sometimes has long stretches with no dialogue. And she has to do almost every scene she's in with the force of nature that is Rhea Seehorn.

This is a task nearly as Herculean as Carol trying to save mankind. So it is a credit to the talent of the previously unknown Wydra that she's become nearly as plauded for her work as Zosia as Seehorn has. The nominations haven't quite some at the same level but they are there. Wydra did receive a  prize for her work at the Saturn's earlier this year and she was nominated by both the Gotham TV Awards and the Dorian TV awards (though oddly enough, not the Astras).And she absolutely deserves it. I always give extra credit for actors who are giving an extra layer of performance and Wydra's work covers it in spades. Wydra's work as Zosia is so complex that it may not even be clear to Zosia herself where she begins and the hive mind ends. It's difficult to be the mouthpiece of a species but she absolutely pulls it off. And as I said, even in those long silent passages of the show where she isn't saying a word, you can't take your eyes off her.

Wydra has the best chance of causing an upset against the forces of The Pitt this year. And either way I can't look away from her work any more than the Emmys can.

 

FOR YOUR CONSIDERATION

Madeline Stowe, Welcome To Derry

I did consider making Welcome to Derry the series for consideration for Best Drama instead of The Audacity and I do think its worthy. And to be clear there are many performances in the entire cast I think that are worthy of nomination. But the one I'm pushing for the most in Madeline Story as Mrs. Kersh.

Here are my reasons. First her character is essential to the canon of the series and it wouldn't shock me if she's the link that draws all three seasons together: we've seen some version of her in every season that's happened already, either as a child or an adult. Second there's the fact that while she is in many ways an acolyte of IT in a way IT's used so many over their time in Derry she's just as much a victim of it as the children and grownups Pennywise kills. As we saw in the penultimate episode she lost her father Bob Gray as a child and has spent her entire life just wanting to see him again – and as we see after the Black Spot, IT disposes of her without a second thought and sends her to a fate worse than death.

And lastly is the superb, ethereal performance of Stowe throughout the show: she's clearly a victim at every stage but also a monster and at every level you see the human being behind every action. By the time the season ended I felt genuine sadness for Stowe's character even though, if you think about it, she realized her heart's desire. Combined with the fact that Stowe is criminally underrecognized for awards her entire career I'm pushing for her. (Who knows? We'll probably see her next season.)

That's it for drama. Next week I wrap it up with Best Limited Series. This category has no real favorites across the board. Should be fun.

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