Monday, June 29, 2026

My Predictions (And Hopes) For the 2026 Emmy Nominations, Week 3, Part 1: Outstanding Limited Series/Anthology

 

In the decade that I've classified as Peak Limited Series there are always an amazing number of great contenders for the prize going into the Emmy nominations and one overwhelming frontrunner. In this cycle that's true in the former but in the latter its absolutely not. Because every end of year awards show was dominated by Adolescence across the board we have no real frontrunner not only in this category but any of the categories that will follow.

The five nominees that I've selected are the most likely to have contenders in nearly every major category in a few weeks' time. The usual providers are offering big contenders with a very strong possible that one new face may break through in a big way. Here are my choices

 

All Her Fault (Peacock)

Those of you who read my column last year know what a big fan I was of this show. I basically binged it just in time to put in on my ten best list of 2025. I spent much of the end of year cycle pushing for it and Sarah Snook throughout the end of year races. And now it looks poised to put Peacock, which has quietly been putting together some of the best shows of any streamer in the last few years, in the Emmy race in a major category for the first time in its run.

All Her Fault was by far one of the most brilliantly literary adaptations I've seen in the past decade and I've seen some masterpieces. In a rare move for this past cycle it’s the only literary adaptations that's going to contend. And by transplanting Andrea Mara Irish set saga into Chicago the writers did such a brilliant job you can't imagine it working in any other setting. Indeed there's an argument, good as the novel, this adaptation is far better.

Much of its power comes from the performances of the two women at its center, played by those forces of nature that are Sarah Snook and Dakota Fanning. Snook is among the frontrunner for her second Emmy for her work as Marissa Irvine, the working mother who goes to pick up her son at  a playdate and becomes the center of a nightmare. Fanning is just as brilliant as Jenny, the mother who finds out her nanny essentially set herself up in a position to abduct Marissa's child and who finds out just how shaky her own marriage is.

Both women are backed up by an incredible supporting cast including some of the darkest work Jake Lacy has ever done and Michael Pena as a force of integrity who has to compromise for tough choices. The story ends up playing with chronology and one is forced to realize the catchphrase "All these nice people killing each other" has a darker subtext.

I don't know how much of a chance this show has at the grand prize: this is an incredible field of talent and as I said there are no clear frontrunners. But this is clearly one of the best limited series in a field of incredibly strong ones.

 

The Beast In Me (Netflix)

This season was an unprecedented year for purely original limited series, something that is rare when so many of the best pieces are adaptations. The Beast in Me very quickly became a sensation at the end of year awards, earning multiple nominations for Best Limited Series and acting nominations for Matthew Rhys and Claire Danes in one of the most unsettling pieces that isn't from a best selling novel in a long time.

Rhys plays Nile Jarvis, the heir to a billionaire housing legacy whose wife disappeared leaving no body and a suicide note. He's just moved to Oyster Bay with a security entourage, barking dogs and a new wife. Danes plays his new neighbor Aggie Wiggs, a non-fiction author whose spent the last four years trying to write a follow-up to her first work. Her life has fallen apart ever since the death of her son four years ago and a mental breakdown that followed.

The two of them begin a frightening dance as Aggie tries to find out the truth behind her neighbor as well as the horrible things he might still be capable of doing. Both leads are cast against type; Rhys is playing someone loathsome and potentially monstrous; Danes someone who can barely function. It’s a fascinating dance. And it's led by an incredible supporting cast as well including Brittany Snow and Jonathan Banks in roles you can't quite believe they can do.

Like All Her Fault The Beast in Me has been a major contender in end of year nominations and despite all of the great shows in the interim I still see no reason why it won't be among the final five.

 

Beef Season 2 (Netflix)

After the first season of Beef swept the Emmys in 2023 Lee Jung-Jae chose a different path for Season 2. Rather than follow the saga of Korean-Americans he chose to look at two different couples: Joshua and Lindsay, the two managers of a country club and Ashley and Austin, two twenty-somethings who are struggling for poverty.  The younger couple seems more devoted then the older one, they don't fight and they are stunned to see Joshua and Lindsay in a knockdown brawl. In an effort to attain upward mobility Lindsay blackmails the couple for a job she's not remotely qualified for. Joshua and Lindsay, who are dealing with financial strains, find a way to manipulate her for her own gain.

In keeping with the past season things quickly spiral out of control, showing both the lack of stability in both relationships. Jung-Jae chooses to take Season 2 to take a different look at the class divides we have particularly with the one percent and how it protects old money rather than new. He heads his cast with two of the greatest actors of the 21st century Oscar Isaac and Carey Mulligan as Joshua and Lindsay and two young talents Charles Melton and Callie Spaeny as his younger couple as well as an incredible group of supporting actors from William Fichtner on down.

The second season of Beef didn't land as powerfully as the first and as a result what was supposed to be a race that it would dominate has now seemed less likely. But that doesn't mean the second season is any less memorable, bizarre, hysterical or weird then the first one or just as brilliantly painful to watch. Jung-Jae chose to right approach when he decided to turn Beef into an anthology. It's not like he's going to have a shortage of material when it comes to how rage effects for the foreseeable future.

 

Hard Man (HBO)

After his Baby Reindeer became a cultural phenomena and swept the 2024 Emmys Richard Gadd, who won for acting, writing and producing had everybody anticipating his follow-up project. Gadd chose to go even darker, bulking up and creating a project that deals with much of the same subject matter as Reindeer but takes a far, darker and more unrelenting look at it.

The series follows Niall and Reuben from their teenage years until their confrontation on Niall's wedding day. It shows the young Reuben as an alpha male from day one with the threat of violence in everything he does and Niall both fascinated and repelled. Niall is terrified of his sexuality and can't seem to face his attraction to men, even as the world becomes more accepting he becomes less so. Reuben spends his youth being repulsive and at one point engaging in a horrific beating of a young man. When he asks Niall to lie about it in order to save him from prison Niall can't do it, which leads to things getting worse.

What Gadd makes clear, both as writer and as Rueben as an adult is that he and Niall are both two sides of the same coin when it comes to how toxic masculinity can reverberate. Reuben takes his vision of being a provider and his own failures out on the world in horrific form while Niall takes it out on himself. They are the only two people who can understand each other and yet they only seem alive when they are destroying each other and it progresses to a horrifying – but inevitable – conclusion.

In only his second series Gadd has made it clear he is one of the greatest creative forces in TV working today. Half Man shows what Adolescence only implied about the nature of toxic masculinity and how destructive it can be around those who suffer it. I don't know if this series will receive the awards Adolescence did but in my opinion it’s the better work by far and just as deserving of the prizes.

 

Love Story: JFK Jr. and Carolyn Bissette (FX)

I have astonished by how Ryan Murphy and his writers have done a brilliant job in so many limited series in the last decade showing the most monstrous parts of human nature in our society. So I was delightfully surprised that for his latest work with FX Murphy decided to focus on something that almost seems saccharine in the 21st century: a love story. 

The title is basically all that the writers are interested in. To be sure there are stories about the difficulties of being in the spotlight and being part of a political family but that's a secondary part. The writers want to tell how JFK Jr and Carolyn Bessette fell in love, got married and how it was tragically cut short. It's surprising how this being just as riveting as so many mysteries and darker stories.

They are helped by two total unknowns in the title roles: Paul Anthony Kelly and Sarah Pigeon who manage to show the life beneath the tabloid. We see how JFK Jr is drawn to a woman who isn't awed by his last name or what he represents and how it fascinates him, a woman who doesn't want to be in the spotlight. We see how Carolyn was very much her own force in Calvin Klein and could have been prominent in the world of fashion. We see how the Kennedys, first Caroline (Grace Gummer) and so many of the rest resisted Junior's romance, even though its clear no woman would have been good enough. And we watch after their glorious wedding, how the paparazzi do much to break Carolyn down and destabilize their marriage. The dual tragedy is not just their tragic death but how both lost their lives before they could realize their happiness as a couple.

I don't know what the writers will do to follow up this story (it took seven years for them to come up with a second season of Feud). But I appreciate the magic and gentle touch of this one – even if it means that the 1990s are now considered 'a period piece'

 

 

For Your Consideration

DTF St. Louis (HBO)

The only reason I'm submitting this series FYC is because there are only five nominees in this category. There's also an excellent chance that it will be nominated in this category regardless: it already has been nominated by the Astras and its actually won in this category at the Gotham TV awards.

And it deserves to be nominated. It's brilliantly original, hysterically funny and is so well done that I actually think that it’s a satire of so many of the great dramas that have been on networks like HBO in the past. I honestly think giving the rhythm in which the characters speak, the flashing back and forth with the chronology, the way the big mystery isn't actually a mystery, that there's no real crime at the center of everything that DTF St. Louis would work as a satire of True Detective. That's actually the reason I'm not certain it will be nominated: it's too clever by five-eighths and historically the Emmys like their limited series to be genuine and gritty to the point of lunacy.  And their track record of nominations in this category for shows that are not dramatic is shaky at best.

But don't kid yourself. DTF St. Louis is a wonderful show that deserves all the nominations it can get. It's going to contend in quite a few categories as you'll see below. And if you think it’s a little too weird for the Emmys, no limited series is normal. It just looks that way from across the street.

Tomorrow I deal with Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series. Nominees are pretty clear but I don't have a frontrunner yet.

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