Thursday, June 18, 2026

My Predictions (And Hopes) For the 2026 Emmy Nominations, Week 1, Day 4: Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Comedy

 

I have more leeway in this category then the previous two as the Emmys as they have in past year have room for seven nominees in this category. And I have some freedom because last year's winner Jeff Hiller (hooray) isn't eligible as well as Ike Barinholtz for The Studio. Bowen Yang, a perennial favorite for his work in SNL, will have difficulty considering he left the show mid-season.

This leaves some openings for new faces or in a sense faces from older shows. And while there's another overwhelming favorite in this category he was the overwhelming favorite last year too.

 

Paul W. Downs, Hacks

I have no way of knowing if when Downs created Jimmy at the start of Hacks he had any idea how important his character was going to be by the end of the series. I think he and his beloved wife Lucia Aniello just thought he was going to be there solely for comic relief, end of story. But like so many things about Hacks Jimmy has become just as important to the show by the final season to the point that he and Kayla's stories are nearly as fun to watch as the main action involving Deb and Ava, to the point that many want there to be a spinoff of the two.

Downs has done a huge amount to show character growth with each new season. This was just as true in the final season as in the first. He is perennially put upon, always misreading situations, listening to much to Kayla, always being pressured by his clients and taken for granted. But by now the average viewer loves him as much as all the other characters and is rooting for him to succeed. And Jimmy has become more savvy, finding a way to make a place for himself with the Fatty Arbuckle movie he's been producing (with his mom filming a role), finding a way to brainstorm a pilot with Ava, working to put together a club with Deb and in the final episode making it clear just how vital Ava was to Deb and Deb to Ava.

Downs, to be clear, has gotten his share of awards for writing and producing Hacks over the years and he doesn't need to win a Supporting Actor award in my book. He's done enough. But he  more than deserves a nomination and he's almost certainly got one locked up. And come on, I want to see him and Meg Stalter hosting the Emmys in the not so distant future. Cause that would be awesome.

 

Harrison Ford, Shrinking

It might be a bit much to say that this award is Harrison Ford's to lose. I did think this last year and I was surprised (delightfully I admit) that Jeff Hiller prevailed. But considering that Ford is now at the age when the Lifetime Achievement Awards are coming in – he did receive one from SAG-AFTRA this past March – you do get the feeling it's about time to give him some kind of actual award. Ford has been, as they say, a supergiant among movie stars: one of the greatest actors in terms of box office draw even before you include his legendary creations of Han Solo and Indiana Jones. That he remains so incredibly humble even at this point is astonishing.

And that is before you get to just how incredibly funny he has been as Paul on Shrinking from day one.  Considering that some of the greatest comic actors of the 21st century were in this cast from the start, many of whom are doing some of their work in this show, it's astonishing that Ford has the innate ability to with a single line delivered completely deadpan, make you laugh longer and harder then any of them without seeming to try. Ford has been underappreciated because he is such a naturalistic performer for whom everything he does just seems so easy and watching him in every scene you know it.

That's before you consider the dark, if inevitable turns that Season 3, takes as Paul finds the progression of his Parkinson's becoming harder to deal with. We knew this from the start of the season, Paul's known just as long, but that doesn't make it any easier to bear. Like the village around him we are devoted to Paul, even as he denies that he deserves it.  Much of the greatness of this show has been how Paul, in the twilight of his years, is trying to rebuild everything he pushed away for his career and how he's hoping its not too late. We're glad to find it isn't, not yet anyway.

Ford starts the Emmy race for this year as he did last year: the prohibitive favorite for Best Supporting Actor. There are no guarantees he'll win and I suspect both Ford and the character he plays would be fine with it, saying the work is all that matters. But damn your modesty. I want this for you and I think the whole world does.

 

Ebon Moss-Bachrach, The Bear

I made it clear that for The Bear I was going to ignore it from the consideration mainly because the majority of the awards shows have done the same. However I don't think they'll make that exception for Moss-Bachrach. His Richie, who started the show as an out-of-touch anachronism, has within the run of the series become the character who has by far made the most progress, far more than Carmy who if anything has been moving backwards ever since the series debuted in terms of character growth.  Of all the characters Richie has become the one who wants to rid the burden of being a screw-up, whose trying so hard to success and who can never forgive himself for what happened to Jimmy all those years ago, something he made clear in the season finale. He's the only person going into the final season whose noticeably less broken then when the series began.

The season finale is a tour de force for the core four and Moss-Bachrach demonstrates that he is going somewhere. When you throw in the immense publicity for the surprise episode of 'Gary' that was dropped last month I think Moss-Bachrach will survive the purge.

Nick Offerman, Margo's Got Money Troubles

There was a time when the Emmys had no idea Nick Offerman existed despite his iconic work as Ron Swanson. Fortunately in this decade they've been making up for lost time. He deservedly won his first Emmy for acting in the iconic 'Long, Long Time' episode of The Last of Us two years ago. Now he has a chance to be nominated for Supporting Actor in two different categories. He definitely will for his work in Jinx in Margo's Got Money Troubles.

Jinx was the pro-wrestler father who was so absentee Margo was stunned when he ended up on her doorstep not long after she'd given birth to Bodhi. We already knew Jinx was getting out of rehab for heroin when we met him which is why it took him so long to respond. He was more than willing to show up for his daughter, something his birth mother didn't like at all. Jinx then had to deal with multiple problems one after another. To his credit he took Margo's doing work on OnlyFans in stride (better then her mother did) and wanted to be protective. Like most dads he took it too far (though the baby daddy deserved worse then getting his hand crushed) and then he helped Margo stage many of her early scenes involving the Hungry Ghost for wrestling moves which was both fun. He was there for Margo when things went bad and then spectacularly he screwed up, destroying almost everything he'd built.

Offerman perfectly balances the comedy and drama in Margo as well as any of the cast which makes sense given his long career. It would have been easy to turn Jinx into the caricature he could have been but Offerman handled it sublimely at every step, showing the humanity and the pain behind everything he's done. Of all the characters at the end of Season 1 his future is the cloudiest but we hope he can win back Margo's trust because of Offerman's humanity. It's another great performance as Offerman moves beyond one of the greatest characters in TV history to become one of the greatest characters in TV history.

 

Timothy Simons, Nobody Wants This

As someone who absolutely hated Simons work on Veep – and yes I know that was kind of the point, his work as Sascha on Nobody Wants This has been a revelation, even more than the rest of the cast.  Sascha is just as put upon and frequently subject to as much abuse as Jonah was but unlike that character he seems perfectly fine with it – and more to the point, he's a human being.

Sascha spent much of Season 2 trying to deal with the small problem that he had built a friendship without his wife's approval. And worst of all with Morgan. To be clear there never has been nor do the writers intend to build up a romantic relationship, not the least because Jonah is still very much in love with his wife and knows how lucky he is to have her. But that's part of the fun of this show as well as Sascha's character. In the hierarchy of the Jewish family the second son is always ignored until he screws up and despite the fact Sascha is a good husband and a father – something Noah isn't yet, by the way – his good works will be underappreciated. But he keeps trying like the good Jewish son he is and he's more lovable in every scene he's a part of.

There has been some buzz for Simons getting a nomination this year: he was nominated by both the Critics Choice Awards and the Astras in Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy. With a lot of the contenders from previous years ineligible his chances have come up immensely and really both Simons and Sascha deserve it.

 

Michael Urie, Shrinking

Urie's Brian ostensibly started Shrinking as the most shallow character. Like every character on Shrinking it was deflection as Michael Urie brings the heart along with the over-the-top humor he shows with every scene he does.

In Season 1 we watched Brian get married. In Season 2 we saw him focus on the idea of fatherhood, first being terrified by it and then in classic Brian fashion overcommitting. It paid off as the surrogate Ava became entranced by them and in Season 3 Brian became a proud papa. As the show progressed Brian's inability to stop meddling continued both in good ways and bad, as so many members of the cast faced their internal struggles include Derek and Paul's health's struggles Jimmy's efforts to move on, his struggles with his own daughter and eventually Brian's own failings which I won't go into here. We've always seen Brian as overdramatic, much of the time we now see it in terms of tears of a clown as someone who laughs so he doesn't cry.

Urie was nominated for his work last year and has been a presence in nominations leading up to the Emmys. It's not clear how much of a chance he has of winning, particularly against his co-star, but he remains a comic dynamo and I'm glad he's part of it.

 

Tyler James Williams, Abbott Elementary

I was, to put it mildly, irked when Colman Domingo ended up getting nominated ahead of Tyler James Williams last year. (I was fine with Jeff Hiller being there, to be clear.) Nothing against Domingo but Williams has been the MVP of Abbott Elementary for five seasons on facial expressions alone. At this point only Jack Benny rivals him as a comparison for saying so much with a silent facial expression.

Williams continued to a lot during Season 5 both when it came to saying nothing and saying something. To be clear Gregory has as funny dialogue as anyone else on Abbott when given a chance. His delivery is hysterical as so much of the time its deadpan. But its been fun watching him thrive in a productive relationship with Janine, as they found a way to move into a new place together, then as they struggled with their first fight, then as Gregory got ridiculously, hysterically drunk, then as they rebuilt their relationship with less manipulation then you'd think. (It's remarkable how much good Mr. Johnson can be on relationships when he needs to be.)

Finally on the season finale they headed to Miami for vacation and Gregory had perfect confidence in Janine. He ended up leaving the trip with Abbott reopened and himself as Assistant principal. And as he confided it's looking like a proposal is happening down the road.

Williams should have an Emmy by this point, though let's not kid ourselves the competition has been kind of stacked during this period. I don't think he'll win this year but I do think he'll return to the ranks and he'll be happy with it. (Though of course he'll never show it.)

 

FYC

William Stanford Davis, Abbott Elementary

In five seasons of watching Abbott Elementary I've given love and appreciation to every single member of the cast  in the Emmy nominations – except for William Stanford Davis. And because I don't want him to call me trash, I'll do it here.

Davis's Johnson has always been one of the most constantly hysterical characters in the entire cast, and Brunson's decision to upgrade him to series regular in Season 2 was another in a long line of brilliant decisions.  It's always fun watching him, and this was clear from the start of the season when we learned he couldn't ride a bike until the end of the season when he chose to repaint the parking places while everyone was on vacation. In between he lectured us on how the furnace was going to explode, got into a war with the cafeteria staff, found to his astonishment women could be janitors just as well as they could be rocket scientists, got ready to go to the Janitor's ball, tried to get his passport at the DMV (where he met one of his nemesis), mocked the idea of April Fool's jokes, and did other more important and funnier stuff. Honestly if they were to do a spinoff of the world of janitors with Mr. Johnson as the lead, I think everybody would watch. (My theory is that the Janitor from Scrubs is his poker buddy.)

Davis has gotten some award nominations from the Image Awards over the years and we all saw how funny he could be at the SAG Awards. Isn't it time custodians got recognized at the Emmys? Representation matters, after all. (Then again, maybe one of his past jobs was as a network executive.)

 

Tomorrow I wrap it up in this week with Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy. I always have fun with this one.

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